Lithuania - A LygaGargždų miesto stadionasData current as of 16 October 2026

Banga vs Panevėžys: match statistics

Banga crest
Banga
0 : 3half-time 0:1
Panevėžys crest
Panevėžys

Banga vs Panevėžys: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Banga played Panevėžys in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 3 September 2026. Venue: Gargždų miesto stadionas. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Banga: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Panevėžys: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Banga scores 1.41 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Panevėžys scores 0.96 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Banga 37%, Panevėžys 50%. Over 2.5: Banga 41%, Panevėžys 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Banga has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.25. Banga: 12.4 shots per match, Panevėžys: 10.7.

Match halves

Banga: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78. Panevėžys: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.35.

Goals by minute

Banga: 76-90+ (9 goals). Panevėžys: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

A Lyga: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-3. Average goals 1.83, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Banga sit 4th, while Panevėžys are seventh, and the hosts also have a clearly stronger season record: 12 wins and a 38:22 goal difference compared with the visitors’ 7 wins and 23:42 record. At home, Banga average 1.73 goals per match, whereas Panevėžys score just 0.69 goals away and fail to find the net in as many as 54% of matches. The visitors’ defence is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.23 goals away from home, with clean sheets in only 15% of matches. Banga do not dominate in terms of chance quality, as their average xG stands at 1.31 compared with the opponents’ 1.13, but Panevėžys allow opponents an xG of 1.67. Recent form has not been one-sided, but Banga have scored 7 goals in their last five matches, compared with just 4 for Panevėžys, further strengthening the prediction of a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Banga regularly finds the net, having failed to score in only 17% of matches, while Panevėžys has kept a clean sheet in just 15% of games and concedes an average of 2.23 goals. However, the key argument against BTTS - Yes is the visitors’ attacking weakness: they score only 0.69 goals on average, have failed to score in 54% of matches, and their shot conversion rate is 7% compared with Banga’s 10%. Over the last five rounds, Panevėžys has averaged just 0.8 goals per game, with BTTS occurring in 40% of their matches, below the league average of 48%. Banga has recently conceded 1.6 goals per game, so a goal from the visitors is possible, but their low scoring potential and frequent No Goal outcomes do not provide a sufficiently strong signal for both teams to score. The more likely scenario is that the hosts find the net, while Panevėžys fails to respond.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Banga should have a clear offensive advantage: they average 1.36 xG and 4.25 shots on target per match, while Panevėžys concede as many as 2.23 goals away from home. However, the visitors score only 0.69 goals per game themselves and failed to score in 54% of their matches, limiting their contribution to a high-scoring game. In their last five league rounds, Panevėžys have not played a single match with at least three goals, although Banga recorded such a total in 60% of their games. The projected total of 2.40 goals points primarily to scorelines such as 1:0, 2:0, 2:1 or 1:1, rather than an open end-to-end contest. Therefore, the best option is Under 3.5 goals, further supported by the fact that Banga finished below this line in 92% of their matches this season.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Banga have a clear first-half advantage: they have led at the break in 50% of their matches, while Panevėžys have been behind at half-time in 54%. The home side concede just 0.50 goals per match before the break, whereas the visitors allow their opponents to score 1.15 goals during this period, which supports the expectation of an early Banga lead. Over the course of the season, Panevėžys have lost 77% of their matches and concede an average of 2.23 goals, while Banga score 1.17 goals per game with an xG of 1.36. After the interval, the visitors still look weak offensively, scoring only 0.23 goals on average while conceding 1.08, making a turnaround in the event of a deficit unlikely. The most logical scenario is therefore a Banga lead at half-time and victory maintained through to full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
BangaPanevėžys
14Shots14
BangaPanevėžys
4Shots on target7
BangaPanevėžys
1.73xG1.78
BangaPanevėžys
5Corners4
BangaPanevėžys
78Dangerous attacks56
BangaPanevėžys
16Fouls16
BangaPanevėžys
0Cards1
BangaPanevėžys

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.41Goals scored / match0.96
BangaPanevėžys
0.81Goals conceded / match1.62
BangaPanevėžys
47%Average possession46%
BangaPanevėžys
4.19Shots on target / match3.65
BangaPanevėžys

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.44Shots per match10.65
BangaPanevėžys
4.19Shots on target3.65
BangaPanevėžys
11.3%Shot conversion9%
BangaPanevėžys
47%Possession46%
BangaPanevėžys
1.41xG for1.25
BangaPanevėžys
1.24xG against1.64
BangaPanevėžys

Shooting quality

Banga: BalancedPanevėžys: Balanced
BangaPanevėžys
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Banga is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Banga · 1.4 pts / match - Panevėžys

Banga
WLWDD
Season result split
44% W30% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-7
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Panevėžys
DWLLW
Season result split
31% W19% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-13
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-10
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Banga is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

1.41 goals / match - Banga · 0.96 goals / match - Panevėžys

Banga is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - Banga · 1.62 goals / match - Panevėžys

Banga scoring profile: strong

Banga scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Panevėžys keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).

Panevėžys scoring profile: strong

Panevėžys scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Banga keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).

38Goals scored (season)25
BangaPanevėžys
22Goals conceded (season)42
BangaPanevėžys
2.22Average goals in match2.58
BangaPanevėžys
7Goals scored (last 5)5
BangaPanevėžys
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
BangaPanevėžys

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal65%
BangaPanevėžys
44%2 goals27%
BangaPanevėžys
22%3 goals4%
BangaPanevėžys
7%4 goals0%
BangaPanevėžys

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal81%
BangaPanevėžys
15%2 goals42%
BangaPanevėžys
4%3 goals27%
BangaPanevėžys
0%4 goals12%
BangaPanevėžys

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time19%
BangaPanevėžys
4%BTTS in both halves8%
BangaPanevėžys
30%Scored in both halves12%
BangaPanevėžys

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
BangaPanevėžys
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
BangaPanevėžys
60%BTTS - last 520%
BangaPanevėžys

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
BangaPanevėžys
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
BangaPanevėžys
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
BangaPanevėžys

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
BangaPanevėžys
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
BangaPanevėžys
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
BangaPanevėžys

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Banga - half-time state
30% leading48% draw22% trailing
Panevėžys - half-time state
38% leading23% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.38
BangaPanevėžys
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.62
BangaPanevėžys
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
BangaPanevėžys
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.42
BangaPanevėžys
63%Clean sheet before half-time46%
BangaPanevėžys
59%No goal before half-time54%
BangaPanevėžys

After half-time (2nd half)

1.7Points per match (2nd half)0.96
BangaPanevėžys
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.35
BangaPanevėžys
0.37Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
BangaPanevėžys
1.15Average goals (2nd half)1.15
BangaPanevėžys
63%Clean sheet after half-time46%
BangaPanevėžys
48%No goal after half-time69%
BangaPanevėžys

Banga - second-half results

48% W26% D26% L
37
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Panevėžys - second-half results

19% W38% D42% L
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Banga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Panevėžys - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Banga
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
8
1
16-30
4
8
31-45
7
2
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Panevėžys
ScoredConceded
2
9
0-15
5
5
16-30
9
7
31-45
4
6
46-60
0
5
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Banga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Panevėžys

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).

Teams vs league

BangaLigaPanevėžys
Average goals in match▼ 2.222.63• 2.58
Both teams scored▼ 37%48%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 41%52%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 37%31%▼ 19%
Goal before half-time▼ 59%70%▲ 81%
Goal after half-time• 78%77%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PanevėžysGoalErnestas Burdzilauskas
  2. PanevėžysGoalStrahinja Kerkez
  3. PanevėžysGoalErnestas Veliulis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Banga 0 - 3 - 3 Panevėžys. Average goals 1.83, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Panevėžys
1 : 0
Banga
Banga
0 : 1
Panevėžys
FK Banga Gargždai
2 : 2
FK Panevėžys
FK Panevėžys
1 : 0
FK Banga Gargždai
FK Banga Gargždai
1 : 1
FK Panevėžys
FK Panevėžys
1 : 1
FK Banga Gargždai

FAQ

What was the result of Banga vs Panevėžys?

The A Lyga match finished Banga 0:3 Panevėžys. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Banga and Panevėžys?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Banga won 0, Panevėžys won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Banga vs Panevėžys?

Banga score 1.41 goals per game on average and Panevėžys 0.96. The A Lyga average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Banga's matches and 50% of Panevėžys's.

What form are Banga and Panevėžys in?

Over the last 5 games Banga have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Panevėžys 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Banga vs Panevėžys?

The statistical background for Banga vs Panevėžys — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.