Barau vs Kwara United: match statistics
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Barau vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barau play Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 25 October 2026.
Current form
Barau: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kwara United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barau scores 1.33 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Kwara United scores 1.11 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barau 56%, Kwara United 44%. Over 2.5: Barau 44%, Kwara United 44%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Barau has higher xG: 1.61 vs 0.68. Barau: 8.8 shots per match, Kwara United: 0.1.
Match halves
Barau: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Kwara United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Barau: 76-90+ (4 goals). Kwara United: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barau | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | -300% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 6.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kwara United is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Barau · 1.4 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barau is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Barau · 1.11 goals / match - Kwara United
Barau scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Kwara United scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barau
Over / Under - Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barau is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Barau · 0.89 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barau
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Barau | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.44 | 2.39 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Barau 1 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Barau and Kwara United play?
Barau face Kwara United on 25 October 2026 in NPFL. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barau and Kwara United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Barau won 1, Kwara United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Kwara United?
Barau score 1.33 goals per game on average and Kwara United 1.11. The NPFL average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Barau's matches and 44% of Kwara United's.
What form are Barau and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Barau have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kwara United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Kwara United?
The statistical background for Barau vs Kwara United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.