Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Barry Town United are in excellent form in their last five matches, winning four games and averaging 2.4 points per match, while Caernarfon Town are performing significantly worse with a record of 1.2 points per match and three defeats in their last five outings. The hosts are extremely effective at home, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 57% of their home games, which gives them a huge advantage over the visitors, who concede an average of 1.21 goals away. Barry Town also have a better goal difference in home matches (+12) compared to Caernarfon's away record (+6), and their home form with a 43% win rate surpasses the visitors' 36% effectiveness on the road. Although Caernarfon are capable of scoring away from home, their weaker defensive disposition and current losing streak favor the hosts, who have every argument to claim all three points.
Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barry Town United play Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Barry Town United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Caernarfon Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barry Town United scores 1.33 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 1.75 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barry Town United 45%, Caernarfon Town 63%. Over 2.5: Barry Town United 39%, Caernarfon Town 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.36. Barry Town United: 10.4 shots per match, Caernarfon Town: 12.4.
Match halves
Barry Town United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Barry Town United: 76-90+ (9 goals). Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Barry Town United are in excellent form in their last five matches, winning four games and averaging 2.4 points per match, while Caernarfon Town are performing significantly worse with a record of 1.2 points per match and three defeats in their last five outings. The hosts are extremely effective at home, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 57% of their home games, which gives them a huge advantage over the visitors, who concede an average of 1.21 goals away. Barry Town also have a better goal difference in home matches (+12) compared to Caernarfon's away record (+6), and their home form with a 43% win rate surpasses the visitors' 36% effectiveness on the road. Although Caernarfon are capable of scoring away from home, their weaker defensive disposition and current losing streak favor the hosts, who have every argument to claim all three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barry Town United | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barry Town United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Barry Town United · 1.2 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Barry Town United · 1.75 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Barry Town United · 1.47 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Barry Town United
Over / Under — Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barry Town United is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Barry Town United · 1.13 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barry Town United
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Barry Town United | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Barry Town United 1 - 1 - 1 Caernarfon Town. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Barry Town United 2:1 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Barry Town United won 1, Caernarfon Town won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
Barry Town United score 1.33 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 1.75. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Barry Town United's matches and 63% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Barry Town United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.