Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Barry Town United are in excellent form in their last five matches, winning four games and averaging 2.4 points per match, while Caernarfon Town are performing significantly worse with a record of 1.2 points per match and three defeats in their last five outings. The hosts are extremely effective at home, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 57% of their home games, which gives them a huge advantage over the visitors, who concede an average of 1.21 goals away. Barry Town also have a better goal difference in home matches (+12) compared to Caernarfon's away record (+6), and their home form with a 43% win rate surpasses the visitors' 36% effectiveness on the road. Although Caernarfon are capable of scoring away from home, their weaker defensive disposition and current losing streak favor the hosts, who have every argument to claim all three points.
Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barry Town United played Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Barry Town United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Caernarfon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barry Town United scores 1.36 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 1.82 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barry Town United 43%, Caernarfon Town 68%. Over 2.5: Barry Town United 43%, Caernarfon Town 61%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.40. Barry Town United: 10.9 shots per match, Caernarfon Town: 12.4.
Match halves
Barry Town United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Barry Town United: 76-90+ (8 goals). Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barry Town United are in excellent form in their last five matches, winning four games and averaging 2.4 points per match, while Caernarfon Town are performing significantly worse with a record of 1.2 points per match and three defeats in their last five outings. The hosts are extremely effective at home, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 57% of their home games, which gives them a huge advantage over the visitors, who concede an average of 1.21 goals away. Barry Town also have a better goal difference in home matches (+12) compared to Caernarfon's away record (+6), and their home form with a 43% win rate surpasses the visitors' 36% effectiveness on the road. Although Caernarfon are capable of scoring away from home, their weaker defensive disposition and current losing streak favor the hosts, who have every argument to claim all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barry Town United | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barry Town United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Barry Town United · 0.8 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Barry Town United · 1.82 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Barry Town United · 1.46 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barry Town United
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barry Town United is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Barry Town United · 1.11 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barry Town United
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Barry Town United | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Barry Town United 1 - 1 - 1 Caernarfon Town. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Barry Town United 2:1 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Barry Town United won 1, Caernarfon Town won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
Barry Town United score 1.36 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 1.82. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Barry Town United's matches and 68% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Barry Town United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.