Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay demonstrates significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Barry Town United (5th place). The visitors boast an impressive record of 14 wins against only 3 defeats this season, along with a higher away win rate (54%) than the hosts' home win rate (33%). Barry Town United has averaged only 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games and is in poor home form with a series of draws and losses. Connah's Quay shows greater attacking efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 13%) and a better average xG (1.55 vs 1.48), indicating higher quality of chances created. The high percentage of home draws for the hosts (42%) and away draws for the visitors (38%) makes a draw a realistic scenario; however, the qualitative advantage and current form of Connah's Quay point towards their victory.
Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barry Town United played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Barry Town United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Connah's Quay: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barry Town United scores 1.40 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 2.04 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barry Town United 44%, Connah's Quay 64%. Over 2.5: Barry Town United 44%, Connah's Quay 72%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.38. Barry Town United: 10.8 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 13.3.
Match halves
Barry Town United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Barry Town United: 16-30 (7 goals). Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay demonstrates significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Barry Town United (5th place). The visitors boast an impressive record of 14 wins against only 3 defeats this season, along with a higher away win rate (54%) than the hosts' home win rate (33%). Barry Town United has averaged only 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games and is in poor home form with a series of draws and losses. Connah's Quay shows greater attacking efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 13%) and a better average xG (1.55 vs 1.48), indicating higher quality of chances created. The high percentage of home draws for the hosts (42%) and away draws for the visitors (38%) makes a draw a realistic scenario; however, the qualitative advantage and current form of Connah's Quay point towards their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barry Town United | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Barry Town United · 1.4 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Barry Town United · 2.04 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Barry Town United scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Connah's Quay scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barry Town United
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Barry Town United · 1.72 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barry Town United
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Barry Town United | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Barry Town United 0 - 1 - 1 Connah's Quay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Barry Town United 1:0 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Barry Town United won 0, Connah's Quay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
Barry Town United score 1.40 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.04. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Barry Town United's matches and 64% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Barry Town United and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Barry Town United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The statistical background for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.