Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay demonstrates significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Barry Town United (5th place). The visitors boast an impressive record of 14 wins against only 3 defeats this season, along with a higher away win rate (54%) than the hosts' home win rate (33%). Barry Town United has averaged only 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games and is in poor home form with a series of draws and losses. Connah's Quay shows greater attacking efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 13%) and a better average xG (1.55 vs 1.48), indicating higher quality of chances created. The high percentage of home draws for the hosts (42%) and away draws for the visitors (38%) makes a draw a realistic scenario; however, the qualitative advantage and current form of Connah's Quay point towards their victory.
Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barry Town United play Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Barry Town United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Connah's Quay: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barry Town United scores 1.33 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 1.91 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barry Town United 45%, Connah's Quay 69%. Over 2.5: Barry Town United 39%, Connah's Quay 69%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.36. Barry Town United: 10.4 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 12.8.
Match halves
Barry Town United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Barry Town United: 76-90+ (9 goals). Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Connah's Quay demonstrates significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Barry Town United (5th place). The visitors boast an impressive record of 14 wins against only 3 defeats this season, along with a higher away win rate (54%) than the hosts' home win rate (33%). Barry Town United has averaged only 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games and is in poor home form with a series of draws and losses. Connah's Quay shows greater attacking efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 13%) and a better average xG (1.55 vs 1.48), indicating higher quality of chances created. The high percentage of home draws for the hosts (42%) and away draws for the visitors (38%) makes a draw a realistic scenario; however, the qualitative advantage and current form of Connah's Quay point towards their victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barry Town United | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Barry Town United · 1.91 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Barry Town United is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Barry Town United · 1.19 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Barry Town United scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Connah's Quay scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Barry Town United
Over / Under — Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Barry Town United · 1.66 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barry Town United
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Barry Town United | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Barry Town United 0 - 2 - 1 Connah's Quay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Barry Town United 1:0 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Barry Town United won 0, Connah's Quay won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
Barry Town United score 1.33 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 1.91. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Barry Town United's matches and 69% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Barry Town United and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Barry Town United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Connah's Quay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The statistical background for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.