Bayelsa United vs Katsina United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bayelsa United play Katsina United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Bayelsa United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Katsina United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bayelsa United scores 0.97 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Katsina United scores 0.86 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bayelsa United 47%, Katsina United 30%. Over 2.5: Bayelsa United 32%, Katsina United 22%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Bayelsa United has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.08. Bayelsa United: 6.6 shots per match, Katsina United: 2.6.

Match halves

Bayelsa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Katsina United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41.

Goals by minute

Bayelsa United: 16-30 (8 goals). Katsina United: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
11Shots5
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
4Shots on target2
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1.48xG0.79
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
6Corners1
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
70Dangerous attacks44
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
-1Fouls-1
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1Cards0
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
0.97Goals scored / match0.86
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1.11Goals conceded / match0.95
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
36%Average possession17%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1.95Shots on target / match0.51
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.58Shots per match2.59
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1.95Shots on target0.51
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
14.8%Shot conversion33.3%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
36%Possession17%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1.24xG for1.08
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1.5xG against1.67
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

Shooting quality

Bayelsa United: Counter-attackingKatsina United: Counter-attacking
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
Accuracy (shots on target)30%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.42
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.501.69

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Katsina United is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.2 pts / match - Katsina United

Bayelsa United
LLLLW
Season result split
29% W26% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-17
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Katsina United
LWLWL
Season result split
38% W24% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-14
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-11
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 2.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bayelsa United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.86 goals / match - Katsina United

Katsina United is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.95 goals / match - Katsina United

Bayelsa United scoring profile: strong

Bayelsa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).

Katsina United scoring profile: strong

Katsina United scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

37Goals scored (season)32
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
42Goals conceded (season)35
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
2.08Average goals in match1.81
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal54%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
26%2 goals19%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
5%3 goals11%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
5%4 goals3%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal65%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
24%2 goals24%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
5%3 goals5%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
3%4 goals0%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time16%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
18%Scored in both halves14%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS16%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
40%BTTS - last 540%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time49%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Katsina United is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.38 pts / match - Katsina United

Bayelsa United - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
Katsina United - half-time state
24% leading65% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.38
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1Average goals (1st half)0.76
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
58%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
53%No goal before half-time62%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.95
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.41
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
1.08Average goals (2nd half)1.05
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
50%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United
68%No goal after half-time70%
Bayelsa UnitedKatsina United

Bayelsa United - second-half results

18% W45% R37% P
47
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Katsina United - second-half results

19% W38% R43% P
51
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bayelsa United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Katsina United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bayelsa United
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
8
4
16-30
5
11
31-45
5
6
46-60
8
4
61-75
6
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Katsina United
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
8
4
31-45
6
4
46-60
2
13
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.95
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+157%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bayelsa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
191%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Katsina United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Bayelsa UnitedLigaKatsina United
Average goals in match 2.082.02 1.81
Both teams scored 47%38% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%34% 22%
Clean sheets 21%37% 35%
Goal before half-time 66%61% 49%
Goal after half-time 66%64% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bayelsa United 0 - 0 - 1 Katsina United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bayelsa United vs Katsina United?

The NPFL match finished Bayelsa United 1:1 Katsina United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bayelsa United vs Katsina United?

Bayelsa United score 0.97 goals per game on average and Katsina United 0.86. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Bayelsa United's matches and 30% of Katsina United's.

What form are Bayelsa United and Katsina United in?

Over the last 5 games Bayelsa United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Katsina United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayelsa United vs Katsina United?

The statistical background for Bayelsa United vs Katsina United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.