Bayelsa United vs Kwara United: match statistics
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayelsa United play Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Bayelsa United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Kwara United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayelsa United scores 0.97 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.92 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayelsa United 47%, Kwara United 34%. Over 2.5: Bayelsa United 32%, Kwara United 29%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Bayelsa United has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.99. Bayelsa United: 6.6 shots per match, Kwara United: 3.6.
Match halves
Bayelsa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Kwara United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.34.
Goals by minute
Bayelsa United: 16-30 (8 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a Bayelsa United win. At home the hosts average 1.17 goals and have an average xG of 1.54 with 11.83 shots and 4.42 on target per match, while Kwara United away record only 0.56 goals, xG 0.85, 6.08 shots and 2.17 on target. Additionally Bayelsa concede on average 0.94 goals at home, and Kwara concede 1.33 on the road and fail to score in 61% of away matches, whereas the hosts fail to score in 33% of home games. Form must be considered: Kwara in their last 5 matches have 3 wins and 2 draws (9 scored, 3 conceded), while Bayelsa have lost their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Overall the superiority in chance quality (xG 1.54 vs 0.85), higher shot volume and 58% possession vs 45% lead me to a higher probability of a home victory, although a draw or upset is realistic given Bayelsa’s poor recent results.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayelsa United | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kwara United is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.6 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayelsa United is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.92 goals / match - Kwara United
Kwara United is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Bayelsa United · 0.95 goals / match - Kwara United
Bayelsa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
Kwara United scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bayelsa United
Over / Under — Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kwara United is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Bayelsa United · 1.37 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Bayelsa United | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.08 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 37% | • 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 61% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayelsa United 0 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Bayelsa United 4:0 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
Bayelsa United score 0.97 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.92. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Bayelsa United's matches and 34% of Kwara United's.
What form are Bayelsa United and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Bayelsa United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Kwara United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.