Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: match statistics
Bayer Leverkusen displays impressive home form with a 63% win rate and only 25% losses at their own stadium. The hosts stand out for their offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per home match, backed by a solid defense conceding only 0.75 goals per game. Stuttgart, despite decent overall form, struggles significantly more on the road with 50% losses and an average of 1.75 conceded goals per match. A key factor is Leverkusen's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.83 vs 1.48 xGA for Stuttgart away) and the hosts' 50% clean sheet rate at home. The difference in goal difference (+12 for Leverkusen in home matches vs +2 for Stuttgart away) further argues for the hosts, although Stuttgart is capable of scoring (averaging 2 away), making a draw a viable option.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayer Leverkusen played Stuttgart in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Stuttgart: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayer Leverkusen scores 2.20 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Stuttgart scores 1.67 and concedes 1.47. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayer Leverkusen 60%, Stuttgart 53%. Over 2.5: Bayer Leverkusen 67%, Stuttgart 73%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Stuttgart has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.62. Bayer Leverkusen: 14.5 shots per match, Stuttgart: 15.5.
Match halves
Bayer Leverkusen: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.80. Stuttgart: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Bayer Leverkusen: 31-45+ (8 goals). Stuttgart: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayer Leverkusen displays impressive home form with a 63% win rate and only 25% losses at their own stadium. The hosts stand out for their offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per home match, backed by a solid defense conceding only 0.75 goals per game. Stuttgart, despite decent overall form, struggles significantly more on the road with 50% losses and an average of 1.75 conceded goals per match. A key factor is Leverkusen's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.83 vs 1.48 xGA for Stuttgart away) and the hosts' 50% clean sheet rate at home. The difference in goal difference (+12 for Leverkusen in home matches vs +2 for Stuttgart away) further argues for the hosts, although Stuttgart is capable of scoring (averaging 2 away), making a draw a viable option.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayer Leverkusen | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bayer Leverkusen is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1 pts / match - Stuttgart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayer Leverkusen is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
2.2 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.67 goals / match - Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.47 goals / match - Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
Stuttgart scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bayer Leverkusen
Over / Under - Stuttgart
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.2 pts / match - Stuttgart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stuttgart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayer Leverkusen
Stuttgart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayer Leverkusen | Liga | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.53 | 3.19 | • 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 Stuttgart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen score 2.20 goals per game on average and Stuttgart 1.67. The Bundesliga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bayer Leverkusen's matches and 53% of Stuttgart's.
What form are Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart in?
Over the last 5 games Bayer Leverkusen have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Stuttgart 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.