Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns: match statistics
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Beijing Guoan played Wuhan Three Towns in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 27 June 2026. Venue: Workers' Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Beijing Guoan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Wuhan Three Towns: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Beijing Guoan scores 1.73 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Wuhan Three Towns scores 1.47 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Beijing Guoan 73%, Wuhan Three Towns 73%. Over 2.5: Beijing Guoan 67%, Wuhan Three Towns 60%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Beijing Guoan has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.27. Beijing Guoan: 14.5 shots per match, Wuhan Three Towns: 11.3.
Match halves
Beijing Guoan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.20. Wuhan Three Towns: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Beijing Guoan: 76-90+ (7 goals). Wuhan Three Towns: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Beijing Guoan holds a clear advantage in attack and game control: at home they score on average 2.0 goals per game with average xG 1.72, taking 15.57 shots per game with 61% possession, while Wuhan Three Towns away average 1.5 goals with xG 1.24 and 10.63 shots with 47% possession. Defensively the hosts also perform better — Wuhan concedes 2.5 goals on average away, and Beijing concedes 1.86 goals in home matches; goal difference for the hosts is +1, whereas the visitors are -8 on the road. In the last 5 fixtures Beijing scored 11 goals and in that period won 3, drew 1 and lost 1 (average 2 points per game), while Wuhan has 0 wins and 5 draws, scoring 8 and conceding 8 goals (average 1 point per game). Additionally Beijing have not had a match at home without scoring (0% such games) and have 14% clean sheets, whereas Wuhan have 13% of away games without scoring and 0% clean sheets on the road. Considering the home advantage in xG (1.72 vs 1.24), shot volume (15.57 vs 10.63) and shots on target (5.14 vs 4.0) and the fact that the visitors have not yet won away (0% wins), I forecast a home win, assigning them about 60% probability, draw 25% and away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes outcome is more likely: Wuhan has a seasonal BTTS rate of 88%, Beijing 57%, and the league average is 63%, indicating frequent mutual goal exchanges. Wuhan concedes an average of 2.5 goals per match this season and has recorded no clean sheets (0%), while Beijing concedes 1.43 goals and has only 14% of matches without conceding, so both sides are vulnerable to conceding. In the last 5 matches Beijing has BTTS in 100% of games and scored an average of 2.2 goals with xG 2.25, and Wuhan has BTTS in 80% and scored 1.6 with xG 1.48 — recent form confirms goal exchange. Additionally Beijing averages 3.57 shots on target with 12% conversion, Wuhan 4.0 on target with 14% conversion, and Wuhan has 75% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, which increases the chance of goals from both sides. Based on seasonal 88% vs 57%, form 100% vs 80% and Wuhan’s high goals conceded rate, I estimate BTTS probability at 80% for Yes and 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal stats and form from the last 5 matches strongly support the over: Beijing have Over 1.5 in 86% of their games this season, Wuhan in 100%, and in the last 5 matches the hosts scored on average 2.2 goals, the visitors 1.6 (total 3.8). Seasonal xG is 1.31 for Beijing and 1.24 for Wuhan (sum 2.55), while xG in the last 5 is 2.25 and 1.48 (sum 3.73), indicating an increase in high-quality scoring chances. Shot analysis confirms this: Beijing average 12.14 shots with a conversion rate of 12% (~1.46 goals), Wuhan 10.63 shots at 14% (~1.49 goals), so from shots alone we expect ~2.95 goals. Additionally BTTS is 57% for the hosts and 88% for Wuhan, and Wuhan concedes on average 2.5 goals this season, so both teams frequently score and concede. Based on this I project expected goals of 1.50 for Beijing and 1.35 for Wuhan (sum 2.85) and recommend the strongest signal: Over 1.5 goals; Over 2.5 also makes sense (~70%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (~45%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Strong signal favoring the home side in the first half: Beijing led at the break in 3 matches (43% season-wide) and in 4 of the last 5 games (80%), while Wuhan have not led at half-time this season (0%). Beijing also have superior HT metrics – scoring an average of 0.71 goals by half-time versus Wuhan’s 0.38, and a higher HTPPG (1.57 vs 0.38), indicating first-half control. Wuhan, by contrast, frequently draw (63% of matches this season and 5 of the last 5), but concede 2.50 goals per game compared with the hosts’ 1.43, which weakens their chances of staging a turnaround. xG are similar (1.31 for Beijing vs 1.24 for Wuhan), and the home side take more shots (12.14 vs 10.63); combined with Wuhan’s poorer defence this supports Beijing maintaining their lead. Therefore the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning at full-time) — I assign this a 33% probability, with significant alternatives 1/X (13%) and X/X (16%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Beijing Guoan | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beijing Guoan is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Beijing Guoan · 1 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beijing Guoan is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Beijing Guoan · 1.47 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Beijing Guoan · 2 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Wuhan Three Towns keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
Wuhan Three Towns scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Beijing Guoan keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Beijing Guoan
Over / Under - Wuhan Three Towns
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beijing Guoan is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Beijing Guoan · 0.93 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Beijing Guoan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wuhan Three Towns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Beijing Guoan | Liga | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 60% | • 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 20% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 - 0 Wuhan Three Towns. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The Chinese Super League match finished Beijing Guoan 1:0 Wuhan Three Towns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Beijing Guoan and Wuhan Three Towns?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 2, Wuhan Three Towns won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Beijing Guoan score 1.73 goals per game on average and Wuhan Three Towns 1.47. The Chinese Super League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Beijing Guoan's matches and 73% of Wuhan Three Towns's.
What form are Beijing Guoan and Wuhan Three Towns in?
Over the last 5 games Beijing Guoan have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Wuhan Three Towns 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.