Ben Guerdane vs Marsa: match statistics
Ben Guerdane exhibits solid home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive 71% clean sheet record on their own turf. The squad is in excellent condition, having won three of their last five matches overall. Marsa, by contrast, performs poorly on their travels, suffering defeats in 71% of their away fixtures with only a 29% win rate. The visitors' recent away form is concerning, featuring four losses in the last five games. Additionally, Ben Guerdane boasts superior xG statistics at home (1.6) compared to Marsa's away xG (1.42), pointing to the hosts' greater offensive efficiency. Given Ben Guerdane's home advantage and Marsa's struggles on the road, a victory for the hosts emerges as the most probable outcome.
Ben Guerdane vs Marsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ben Guerdane play Marsa in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match date is 22 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ben Guerdane: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Marsa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ben Guerdane scores 0.60 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Marsa scores 0.87 and concedes 1.10. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ben Guerdane 20%, Marsa 20%. Over 2.5: Ben Guerdane 13%, Marsa 33%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Marsa has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.04. Ben Guerdane: 5.6 shots per match, Marsa: 10.1.
Match halves
Ben Guerdane: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33. Marsa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Ben Guerdane: 61-75 (6 goals). Marsa: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Ben Guerdane exhibits solid home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive 71% clean sheet record on their own turf. The squad is in excellent condition, having won three of their last five matches overall. Marsa, by contrast, performs poorly on their travels, suffering defeats in 71% of their away fixtures with only a 29% win rate. The visitors' recent away form is concerning, featuring four losses in the last five games. Additionally, Ben Guerdane boasts superior xG statistics at home (1.6) compared to Marsa's away xG (1.42), pointing to the hosts' greater offensive efficiency. Given Ben Guerdane's home advantage and Marsa's struggles on the road, a victory for the hosts emerges as the most probable outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ben Guerdane | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsa is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Ben Guerdane · 0.87 goals / match - Marsa
Ben Guerdane is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Ben Guerdane · 1.1 goals / match - Marsa
Ben Guerdane scores in 47% of matches (14 of 30 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Marsa scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Ben Guerdane keeps a clean sheet in 50% (15 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ben Guerdane
Over / Under — Marsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ben Guerdane is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Ben Guerdane · 1.03 pts / match - Marsa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ben Guerdane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ben Guerdane
Marsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Ben Guerdane | Liga | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 1.73 | ▲ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ben Guerdane 0 - 0 - 1 Marsa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ben Guerdane vs Marsa?
The Ligue 1 match finished Ben Guerdane 1:0 Marsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ben Guerdane vs Marsa?
Ben Guerdane score 0.60 goals per game on average and Marsa 0.87. The Ligue 1 average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Ben Guerdane's matches and 20% of Marsa's.
What form are Ben Guerdane and Marsa in?
Over the last 5 games Ben Guerdane have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Marsa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ben Guerdane vs Marsa?
The statistical background for Ben Guerdane vs Marsa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.