Ben Guerdane vs Métlaoui: match statistics
Ben Guerdane vs Métlaoui: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ben Guerdane played Métlaoui in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Ben Guerdane: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Métlaoui: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ben Guerdane scores 0.61 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Métlaoui scores 0.61 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ben Guerdane 26%, Métlaoui 26%. Over 2.5: Ben Guerdane 17%, Métlaoui 22%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Métlaoui has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.13. Ben Guerdane: 6.0 shots per match, Métlaoui: 7.1.
Match halves
Ben Guerdane: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.30. Métlaoui: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Ben Guerdane: 16-30 (5 goals). Métlaoui: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ben Guerdane has a clear defensive edge at home: they concede only 0.36 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 64% of matches, while Métlaoui concede 1.45 goals per away game and have 36% clean sheets. The home side also creates more chances — Ben Guerdane’s home xG is 1.60 versus the visitors’ 1.19 away xG, with average shots 13.6 to 8.3 and shots on target 6.0 to 3.1 further favoring the hosts. However, form over the last 5 matches favors the visitors: Ben Guerdane have 0 points and only 2 goals scored with 9 conceded, whereas Métlaoui have scored 7 goals and average 1 point per game in that period. Both teams show low finishing — conversion is 6% for the hosts versus 4% for the guests, and the share of goalless matches is 55% vs 64%, indicating few goals; nevertheless, the stronger defense and higher quality of created chances (xG 1.60 vs 1.19) incline the recommendation toward a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The main indicators favor No Goal / BTTS - No: Ben Guerdane has clean sheets in 58% of matches this season and concedes only 0.58 goals per game, while Métlaoui score just 0.36 goals per game and their seasonal BTTS is only 9%. Combined this points to a low propensity for both teams to score, supported by the league average BTTS of 26%. There is a counter-signal: xG shows goal potential (home xG 1.32 and away xG 1.19), and in the last 5 matches Métlaoui have scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and had BTTS in 60% of those games, so the risk of Goal/Goal exists. Nevertheless, Ben Guerdane have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches (0.4 per game) and conceded 9 (1.8 per game), and low shot conversion rates of 7% for the home team and 4% for the away team suggest high xG is not converting into goals. Considering the weight of seasonal defensive data (58% clean sheets and away seasonal BTTS 9%), I assign higher probability to 'no' and propose a split of 65% 'no' versus 35% 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows moderate goal potential: Ben Guerdane has xG_for 1.32, Métlaoui 1.19 (combined 2.51), and averaging with xG_against (Ben Guerdane 1.13, Métlaoui 1.80) yields approximately 2.72 expected goals. However, actual seasonal goals per game are significantly lower — home team scores 0.83 GPG, away team 0.36 (combined 1.19) — and shot conversion rates are only 7% and 4%, which limits xG translation into goals. Seasonal rates for matches Over 2.5 goals are 25% (Ben Guerdane) and 18% (Métlaoui), while the league sits at 28%; additionally, the percentage of matches with Both Teams To Score for the visitors is only 9% and hosts have 58% of matches with clean sheets. Weighing xG against low conversion, I project 1.34 goals for Ben Guerdane and 0.96 for Métlaoui (total 2.30), translating to roughly 67% probability for Over 1.5, about 40% for Over 2.5 and only ~20% for Over 3.5. The strongest signal in the data is for Under 2.5 due to low seasonal Over 2.5 rates (25%/18%), weak away finishing and frequent home clean sheets.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X): Ben Guerdane were level at the break in 83% of matches, and the home side finished the season drawing in 75% of fixtures. The hosts average 0.33 goals by half-time and Métlaoui only 0.09, giving roughly 0.42 goals by the break and strongly suggesting a 0-0 half-time score. In the league 90% of matches feature a clean sheet, and the hosts keep a clean sheet in 58% of their season’s games, so low-scoring affairs and draws dominate. Although Ben Guerdane generate higher xG (1.32 versus 1.19) and score 0.83 goals at home on average versus the visitors’ 0.36, the hosts’ poor form in their last five matches (5 defeats) limits their chances of producing a turnaround, hence X/X is the most justified selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ben Guerdane | Métlaoui | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Métlaoui is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Ben Guerdane · 0.6 pts / match - Métlaoui
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ben Guerdane is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Ben Guerdane · 1 goals / match - Métlaoui
Ben Guerdane scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Métlaoui keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Métlaoui scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Ben Guerdane keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ben Guerdane
Over / Under - Métlaoui
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ben Guerdane is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Ben Guerdane · 1 pts / match - Métlaoui
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ben Guerdane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Métlaoui - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ben Guerdane
Métlaoui
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Ben Guerdane | Liga | Métlaoui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.48 | 1.72 | ▼ 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | • 26% | 26% | • 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 60% | • 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ben Guerdane 0 - 1 - 0 Métlaoui. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ben Guerdane vs Métlaoui?
The Ligue 1 match finished Ben Guerdane 0:0 Métlaoui. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ben Guerdane vs Métlaoui?
Ben Guerdane score 0.61 goals per game on average and Métlaoui 0.61. The Ligue 1 average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Ben Guerdane's matches and 26% of Métlaoui's.
What form are Ben Guerdane and Métlaoui in?
Over the last 5 games Ben Guerdane have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Métlaoui 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ben Guerdane vs Métlaoui?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ben Guerdane vs Métlaoui: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.