BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS: match statistics
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BFC Daugavpils play Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 13 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Rīgas FS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
BFC Daugavpils scores 1.26 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Rīgas FS scores 2.39 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BFC Daugavpils 57%, Rīgas FS 43%. Over 2.5: BFC Daugavpils 43%, Rīgas FS 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.54. BFC Daugavpils: 12.7 shots per match, Rīgas FS: 16.0.
Match halves
BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87. Rīgas FS: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (13 goals). Rīgas FS: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 0-0-6. Average goals 5.33, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast an away win for Rīgas FS based on a clear numerical advantage. Rīgas FS have scored 25 goals this season versus BFC Daugavpils' 14, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have netted 15 goals compared to the hosts' 4. The visitors create more chances — away xG is 2.14 versus home xG 1.57; they average 18.4 shots per game (6.4 on target) versus 12.5 (4.83 on target) and have a higher conversion rate 10% vs 8%. Defensively Rīgas FS concede 0.8 goals away, have xG against 0.66 and 60% clean sheets, while the hosts concede 1.0 goals at home, have xG against 1.31 and 33% clean sheets. Additionally the visitors average 2.6 points per game over the last 5 matches (form: wwdww), and the hosts only 1.0 point (form: wdldl), therefore I assess the probabilities as: Rīgas FS 70%, draw 15%, home win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 2.6 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 2.39 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 0.7 goals / match - Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 52% (12 of 23 matches).
Rīgas FS scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — BFC Daugavpils
Over / Under — Rīgas FS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 2 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| BFC Daugavpils | Liga | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): BFC Daugavpils 0 - 0 - 6 Rīgas FS. Average goals 5.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
The Virsliga match finished BFC Daugavpils 0:1 Rīgas FS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches BFC Daugavpils won 0, Rīgas FS won 6 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.26 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 2.39. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of BFC Daugavpils's matches and 43% of Rīgas FS's.
What form are BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS in?
Over the last 5 games BFC Daugavpils have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Rīgas FS 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
The statistical background for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.