BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums: match statistics
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BFC Daugavpils played Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tukums: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
BFC Daugavpils scores 1.18 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.29 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BFC Daugavpils 53%, Tukums 74%. Over 2.5: BFC Daugavpils 41%, Tukums 65%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.36. BFC Daugavpils: 12.8 shots per match, Tukums: 11.3.
Match halves
BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79. Tukums: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (17 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-3-1. Average goals 1.86, BTTS 43%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
BFC Daugavpils sit 4th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while ninth-placed Tukums have failed to win during that period and have scored just 1 goal. Home advantage is clear: the hosts have won 53% of their home matches, while the visitors have yet to win away and have lost 71% of their away games. Daugavpils concede an average of 0.82 goals per home match, compared with Tukums' 2.29 away, further tilting the balance in the hosts' favour. The quality of chances created also points to their advantage: Daugavpils' home xG is 1.59, against Tukums' away xG of 1.27. Although the hosts score an average of just 1.18 goals at home, the visitors' defensive frailties make a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although both teams scored in 82% of Daugavpils' matches and 65% of Tukums' matches this season, the visitors' recent results significantly reduce the likelihood of that pattern repeating. Tukums have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in only 20% of those games. Over the same period, Daugavpils conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match, making it even harder for the visitors to break through. The hosts have a strong chance of scoring, averaging 1.65 goals per match, while Tukums concede 2.29; however, BTTS - No remains slightly more likely because of the risk that the visitors fail to score. This means at least one team is expected to draw a blank, not necessarily that the match will finish 0-0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 94% of BFC Daugavpils’ matches and 88% of Tukums’ matches. The hosts average 1.65 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.29, which favors BFC scoring at least twice. On the other hand, Tukums have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, so I rate the chances of a higher goal total more cautiously. Although both teams have gone Over 2.5 goals in 65% of their matches, their recent scoring form supports the safer Over 1.5 goals line, with a projected total of 2.70.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is slightly more likely than a home lead at the break: both teams went into half-time level in 3 of their last 5 matches, and Tukums scored no first-half goals in those games. BFC Daugavpils’ record over their last five matches supports a home win, with 3 wins for the hosts and none for the visitors. The difference could emerge after the break, with the hosts scoring an average of 0.94 goals while Tukums concede 1.29 per match. Across the season, BFC Daugavpils average 1.65 goals per match compared with Tukums’ 0.94, further supporting the HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BFC Daugavpils is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 0.4 pts / match - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.29 goals / match - Tukums
BFC Daugavpils is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils · 1.91 goals / match - Tukums
BFC Daugavpils scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
Tukums scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - BFC Daugavpils
Over / Under - Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils · 0.91 pts / match - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 15%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| BFC Daugavpils | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): BFC Daugavpils 3 - 3 - 1 Tukums. Average goals 1.86, both teams scored in 43% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished BFC Daugavpils 2:0 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between BFC Daugavpils and Tukums?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches BFC Daugavpils won 3, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.18 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.29. The Virsliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of BFC Daugavpils's matches and 74% of Tukums's.
What form are BFC Daugavpils and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games BFC Daugavpils have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tukums 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.