England - ChampionshipSt. Andrew's StadiumData current as of 03 November 2026

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: match statistics

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Birmingham City played Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Birmingham City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Middlesbrough: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Birmingham City scores 1.43 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Middlesbrough scores 2.00 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.86 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Birmingham City 86%, Middlesbrough 86%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 71%, Middlesbrough 71%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Middlesbrough has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.48. Birmingham City: 13.0 shots per match, Middlesbrough: 17.9.

Match halves

Birmingham City: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71. Middlesbrough: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Birmingham City: 31-45+ (3 goals). Middlesbrough: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Middlesbrough sit 5th, while Birmingham are ninth, and the visitors have collected 10 points from their last five matches thanks to 3 wins, compared with 8 points for the hosts. Middlesbrough create chances worth an average of 1.73 xG away from home, clearly more than Birmingham’s 1.52 xG at home, and also average 16 shots per match compared with their opponents’ 13. Birmingham score an average of 1.67 goals at home, but concede just as many and have failed to keep a clean sheet, whereas Middlesbrough allow opponents an average of only 1 goal away from home. The hosts are on a run of three consecutive home draws, so a closely contested game is a realistic prospect, but the visitors’ stronger recent form and greater possession—59% compared with 51%—slightly tip the balance in favour of an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Birmingham have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches so far, while Middlesbrough have done so in 67%, with the league average standing at 67%. The hosts are yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.67 goals, while both teams have allowed their opponents 1.4 and 1.6 goals respectively over their last five matches. Their attacking potential is supported by similar xG figures across the last five games: 1.61 for Birmingham and 1.65 for Middlesbrough, with both teams scoring an average of 1.6 and 1.8 goals per match respectively during this period. Birmingham also average 6.33 shots on target per game, while Middlesbrough, despite their lower finishing efficiency, have not recorded a match without scoring. The strongest signal therefore points to BTTS - Yes: the hosts regularly both score and concede, while the visitors possess sufficient attacking numbers to exploit their defensive weakness.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last 5 matches, Birmingham averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Middlesbrough averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Both teams create plenty of chances: their average xG over the last five matches stands at 1.61 for the hosts and 1.65 for the visitors, supporting a forecast of 3.16 total goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Birmingham’s last five matches and in 60% of Middlesbrough’s, while both teams scored in 100% of the hosts’ matches during this period. However, the strongest signal is Over 1.5, as Birmingham cleared this line in 100% of their season matches and Middlesbrough in 67%, with the hosts recording a 0% rate of matches below 1.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Middlesbrough led at the break in all three of their away matches so far, and had a half-time lead in 60% of their last five games. Birmingham conceded an average of 1.2 goals before the break in their last five matches, while the visitors allowed their opponents just 0.4 goals per game during that period. After the interval, however, the advantage should shift to the hosts: Birmingham score an average of 2.0 second-half goals at home, whereas Middlesbrough have failed to score in the second half away from home and concede an average of 1.0 goal. The hosts have won all three of their home matches, and their xG stands at 1.95 compared with Middlesbrough’s 1.73, further supporting the scenario of a turnaround and a final Birmingham victory.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
15Shots15
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
5Shots on target4
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1.65xG1.57
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
5Corners3
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
48Dangerous attacks48
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
11Fouls11
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
2Cards0
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1.43Goals scored / match2
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1.29Goals conceded / match1.43
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
48%Average possession61%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
4.14Shots on target / match5.29
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match17.86
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
4.14Shots on target5.29
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
11%Shot conversion11.2%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
48%Possession61%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1.48xG for1.95
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1.33xG against1.3
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

Shooting quality

Birmingham City: BalancedMiddlesbrough: Dominant
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Middlesbrough is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Birmingham City · 2.2 pts / match - Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
WDDLW
Season result split
29% W57% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-1
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 at home
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Middlesbrough
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Middlesbrough is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Birmingham City · 2 goals / match - Middlesbrough

Birmingham City is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.43 goals / match - Middlesbrough

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Middlesbrough scoring profile: very strong

Middlesbrough scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

10Goals scored (season)14
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
9Goals conceded (season)10
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
2.71Average goals in match3.43
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
8Goals scored (last 5)11
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
57%2 goals57%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0%3 goals29%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0%4 goals14%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal86%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
43%2 goals43%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0%3 goals14%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0%4 goals0%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time14%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
14%BTTS in both halves14%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
43%Scored in both halves14%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
100%BTTS - last 580%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Middlesbrough is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.86 pts / match - Middlesbrough

Birmingham City - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Middlesbrough - half-time state
57% leading14% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.86
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.86
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.43
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
29%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
43%No goal before half-time43%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

After half-time (2nd half)

1.86Points per match (2nd half)1.43
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
1Average goals (2nd half)2
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
71%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough
29%No goal after half-time43%
Birmingham CityMiddlesbrough

Birmingham City - second-half results

43% W57% D0% L
7
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Middlesbrough - second-half results

43% W14% D43% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Birmingham City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Middlesbrough - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
5
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Middlesbrough
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
86%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Middlesbrough

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham CityLigaMiddlesbrough
Average goals in match▼ 2.712.86▲ 3.43
Both teams scored▲ 86%67%▲ 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%63%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▼ 14%21%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%78%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%76%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.86
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Birmingham CityYellow cardLuis Vásquez
  2. Birmingham CityGoalLiam MillarAssist: Jhon Elmer Solis Romero
  3. MiddlesbroughGoalRiley McGree
  4. Birmingham CitySubstitutionOn: Marvin DuckschOff: Luis Vásquez
  5. MiddlesbroughSubstitutionOn: Jeremy SarmientoOff: Amario Cozier-Duberry
  6. Birmingham CitySubstitutionOn: Seung-Ho PaikOff: Jay Stansfield
  7. MiddlesbroughGoalAdilson Malanda
  8. Birmingham CityYellow cardPhil Neumann
  9. Birmingham CitySubstitutionOn: Patrick RobertsOff: Carlos Vicente Robles

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Birmingham City 0 - 0 - 2 Middlesbrough. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Birmingham City FC
1 : 3
Middlesbrough FC
Middlesbrough FC
2 : 1
Birmingham City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?

The Championship match finished Birmingham City 2:2 Middlesbrough. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham City won 0, Middlesbrough won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?

Birmingham City score 1.43 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 2.00. The Championship average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Birmingham City's matches and 86% of Middlesbrough's.

What form are Birmingham City and Middlesbrough in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Middlesbrough 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.