England - ChampionshipSt. Andrew's StadiumData current as of 02 November 2026

Birmingham City vs Millwall: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Birmingham City vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Birmingham City play Millwall in Championship (England). The match date is 3 November 2026. Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium.

Current form

Birmingham City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Millwall: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Birmingham City scores 1.77 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.77 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Birmingham City 62%, Millwall 54%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 69%, Millwall 77%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Millwall has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.55. Birmingham City: 13.5 shots per match, Millwall: 14.5.

Match halves

Birmingham City: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.92. Millwall: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Birmingham City: 31-45+ (7 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.95)
(3.75)
(3.50)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Birmingham CityMillwall
1.77Goals scored / match1.77
Birmingham CityMillwall
1Goals conceded / match1.62
Birmingham CityMillwall
50%Average possession49%
Birmingham CityMillwall
4.77Shots on target / match4.31
Birmingham CityMillwall

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.46Shots per match14.46
Birmingham CityMillwall
4.77Shots on target4.31
Birmingham CityMillwall
13.1%Shot conversion12.2%
Birmingham CityMillwall
50%Possession49%
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.55xG for1.57
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.35xG against1.37
Birmingham CityMillwall

Shooting quality

Birmingham City: Efficient finishingMillwall: Attacking
Birmingham CityMillwall
Accuracy (shots on target)35%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Birmingham City is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.4 pts / match - Millwall

Birmingham City
WWWLW
Season result split
46% W38% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-2
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Millwall
WLDLW
Season result split
38% W23% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-5
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham City is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.62 goals / match - Millwall

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

23Goals scored (season)23
Birmingham CityMillwall
13Goals conceded (season)21
Birmingham CityMillwall
2.77Average goals in match3.38
Birmingham CityMillwall
11Goals scored (last 5)8
Birmingham CityMillwall
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
Birmingham CityMillwall

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal85%
Birmingham CityMillwall
62%2 goals54%
Birmingham CityMillwall
23%3 goals23%
Birmingham CityMillwall
8%4 goals15%
Birmingham CityMillwall

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal69%
Birmingham CityMillwall
31%2 goals54%
Birmingham CityMillwall
0%3 goals23%
Birmingham CityMillwall
0%4 goals8%
Birmingham CityMillwall

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time15%
Birmingham CityMillwall
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Birmingham CityMillwall
46%Scored in both halves31%
Birmingham CityMillwall

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
Birmingham CityMillwall
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
Birmingham CityMillwall
20%BTTS - last 560%
Birmingham CityMillwall

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Birmingham CityMillwall
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Birmingham CityMillwall
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Birmingham CityMillwall

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Birmingham CityMillwall
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time69%
Birmingham CityMillwall
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Birmingham CityMillwall

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millwall is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.62 pts / match - Millwall

Birmingham City - half-time state
38% leading31% draw31% trailing
Millwall - half-time state
46% leading23% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per match (1st half)1.62
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.92
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.54Average goals (1st half)1.46
Birmingham CityMillwall
46%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Birmingham CityMillwall
38%No goal before half-time38%
Birmingham CityMillwall

After half-time (2nd half)

2.08Points per match (2nd half)1.23
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
Birmingham CityMillwall
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
Birmingham CityMillwall
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.92
Birmingham CityMillwall
69%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Birmingham CityMillwall
31%No goal after half-time46%
Birmingham CityMillwall

Birmingham City - second-half results

54% W46% D0% L
19
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Millwall - second-half results

38% W8% D54% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Birmingham City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Millwall - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
7
7
31-45
5
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
4
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham CityLigaMillwall
Average goals in match▼ 2.772.93▲ 3.38
Both teams scored• 62%62%▼ 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 69%62%▲ 77%
Clean sheets▲ 31%22%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▲ 92%78%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Birmingham City 1 - 0 - 1 Millwall. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Millwall FC
3 : 0
Birmingham City FC
Birmingham City FC
4 : 0
Millwall FC

FAQ

When do Birmingham City and Millwall play?

Birmingham City face Millwall on 3 November 2026 in Championship at St. Andrew's Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham City and Millwall?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham City won 1, Millwall won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Birmingham City score 1.77 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.77. The Championship average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Birmingham City's matches and 54% of Millwall's.

What form are Birmingham City and Millwall in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Millwall 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Millwall?

The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Millwall — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.