Birmingham City vs Preston North End: match statistics
Birmingham City vs Preston North End: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Birmingham City played Preston North End in Championship (England). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Birmingham City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Preston North End: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Birmingham City scores 1.44 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Preston North End scores 0.89 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Birmingham City 78%, Preston North End 67%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 67%, Preston North End 67%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.34. Birmingham City: 13.4 shots per match, Preston North End: 12.9.
Match halves
Birmingham City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Preston North End: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Birmingham City: 31-45+ (4 goals). Preston North End: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham City hold the advantage in the table, sitting 11th while Preston North End are 23rd, and have taken 6 points from their last five matches compared with the visitors’ 4. The hosts have drawn all four of their matches at home so far, significantly increasing the likelihood of the points being shared, while Preston have lost three and drawn one on the road. Birmingham average 1.75 goals scored at home from 1.56 xG, whereas Preston average 1 goal away and register 1.35 xG. The hosts also have the edge in chance creation: their home xG is higher than Preston’s away xG, and the visitors concede chances worth 1.96 xG per match on the road. Both teams concede an average of 1.75 goals in these conditions, so despite the lean towards a Birmingham win, the risk of a draw remains significant.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 75% of their matches, above the league average of 68%. In Birmingham’s last five games, both teams scored in 100% of matches, compared with 80% in Preston’s, strengthening the case for BTTS - Yes. Neither team has kept a clean sheet in the seasonal statistics considered; over their last five matches, Birmingham conceded an average of 1.6 goals, while Preston conceded 1.8. Both sides also have attacking potential, with average xG figures of 1.38 and 1.35 respectively, although each has failed to score in 25% of matches. The risk that one team will fail to score remains real, but the BTTS frequency and regular goals conceded support a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: both teams have cleared this line in 75% of their matches so far, and neither has kept a clean sheet. In their last five matches, Birmingham averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Preston averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded, pointing to scoring chances at both ends. Birmingham’s average xG is 1.38, compared with 1.96 xG conceded by Preston, giving the hosts slightly better scoring prospects. Although both teams saw Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five matches, the 1.5-goal line offers a safer signal with a projected total of 3.0 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest pre-break signal favors Preston: the visitors were leading at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Birmingham were also trailing at the break in 3 of 5. Over that period, Preston averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before half-time, compared with Birmingham’s 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded. After the break, the balance of play shifted: Birmingham won the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Preston lost it in all 5, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that the visitors lead at the break, but the hosts fight back and the match ends in a draw; a full turnaround to a Birmingham win remains a realistic alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham City | Preston North End | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham City is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Birmingham City · 0.8 pts / match - Preston North End
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Birmingham City · 0.89 goals / match - Preston North End
Birmingham City is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.78 goals / match - Preston North End
Birmingham City scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
Preston North End scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Birmingham City
Over / Under - Preston North End
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Preston North End is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.33 pts / match - Preston North End
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Preston North End - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Birmingham City
Preston North End
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham City | Liga | Preston North End | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 66% | • 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Birmingham City 2 - 0 - 0 Preston North End. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
The Championship match finished Birmingham City 4:0 Preston North End. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham City and Preston North End?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham City won 2, Preston North End won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
Birmingham City score 1.44 goals per game on average and Preston North End 0.89. The Championship average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Birmingham City's matches and 67% of Preston North End's.
What form are Birmingham City and Preston North End in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Preston North End 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Preston North End — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.