Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: match statistics
Birmingham City presents a clear advantage as the host with a 47% home win rate and an impressive +13 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.82 goals per home match with only 6% of games without scoring, which proves their solid offense. Queens Park Rangers has a poor away form with a 39% defeat rate and a negative -11 goal difference, scoring an average of only 0.94 goals on the road. The xG statistics also favor Birmingham (1.89 vs 1.20), confirming their superiority in creating chances. Even though the last 5 matches for both teams have not been successful, Birmingham maintains greater stability on their home turf and should exploit the defensive weaknesses of the visitors, who concede an average of 1.56 goals away from home.
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Birmingham City played Queens Park Rangers in Championship (England). The match was played on 11 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Birmingham City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Queens Park Rangers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Birmingham City scores 1.28 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Queens Park Rangers scores 1.28 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Birmingham City 56%, Queens Park Rangers 64%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 50%, Queens Park Rangers 64%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.40. Birmingham City: 13.8 shots per match, Queens Park Rangers: 12.6.
Match halves
Birmingham City: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Queens Park Rangers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Birmingham City: 76-90+ (10 goals). Queens Park Rangers: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham City presents a clear advantage as the host with a 47% home win rate and an impressive +13 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.82 goals per home match with only 6% of games without scoring, which proves their solid offense. Queens Park Rangers has a poor away form with a 39% defeat rate and a negative -11 goal difference, scoring an average of only 0.94 goals on the road. The xG statistics also favor Birmingham (1.89 vs 1.20), confirming their superiority in creating chances. Even though the last 5 matches for both teams have not been successful, Birmingham maintains greater stability on their home turf and should exploit the defensive weaknesses of the visitors, who concede an average of 1.56 goals away from home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham City | Queens Park Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham City is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Birmingham City · 0.6 pts / match - Queens Park Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.61 goals / match - Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham City scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Queens Park Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Queens Park Rangers scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Birmingham City
Over / Under - Queens Park Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Queens Park Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham City | Liga | Queens Park Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Birmingham City 0 - 0 - 1 Queens Park Rangers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
The Championship match finished Birmingham City 1:0 Queens Park Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Birmingham City score 1.28 goals per game on average and Queens Park Rangers 1.28. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Birmingham City's matches and 64% of Queens Park Rangers's.
What form are Birmingham City and Queens Park Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Queens Park Rangers 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.