England - ChampionshipEwood ParkData current as of 08 September 2026

Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Blackburn Rovers play Millwall in Championship (England). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Ewood Park.

Current form

Blackburn Rovers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Millwall: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Blackburn Rovers scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Millwall scores 2.00 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Blackburn Rovers 80%, Millwall 20%. Over 2.5: Blackburn Rovers 80%, Millwall 80%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Millwall has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.17. Blackburn Rovers: 9.6 shots per match, Millwall: 14.8.

Match halves

Blackburn Rovers: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Millwall: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Blackburn Rovers: 46-60 (5 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.87)
(3.40)
(2.40)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Blackburn RoversMillwall
1.2Goals scored / match2
Blackburn RoversMillwall
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
Blackburn RoversMillwall
51%Average possession49%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
3.8Shots on target / match4
Blackburn RoversMillwall

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.6Shots per match14.8
Blackburn RoversMillwall
3.8Shots on target4
Blackburn RoversMillwall
12.5%Shot conversion13.5%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
51%Possession49%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
1.17xG for1.55
Blackburn RoversMillwall
1.7xG against1.25
Blackburn RoversMillwall

Shooting quality

Blackburn Rovers: BalancedMillwall: Attacking
Blackburn RoversMillwall
Accuracy (shots on target)40%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Millwall is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers · 1.8 pts / match - Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
DWLDL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Millwall
WWLLW
Season result split
60% W0% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Millwall is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Blackburn Rovers · 2 goals / match - Millwall

Blackburn Rovers is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Blackburn Rovers · 1.6 goals / match - Millwall

Blackburn Rovers scoring profile: mixed

Blackburn Rovers scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Blackburn Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

6Goals scored (season)10
Blackburn RoversMillwall
7Goals conceded (season)8
Blackburn RoversMillwall
2.6Average goals in match3.6
Blackburn RoversMillwall
6Goals scored (last 5)10
Blackburn RoversMillwall
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Blackburn RoversMillwall

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
40%2 goals60%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0%3 goals40%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0%4 goals20%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal40%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
60%2 goals40%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0%3 goals40%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0%4 goals20%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
20%BTTS in both halves0%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
20%Scored in both halves60%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS60%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
80%BTTS - last 520%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millwall is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.6 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers · 1.8 pts / match - Millwall

Blackburn Rovers - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing
Millwall - half-time state
60% leading0% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per match (1st half)1.8
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Blackburn RoversMillwall
1Average goals (1st half)1.4
Blackburn RoversMillwall
40%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
80%No goal before half-time20%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.8
Blackburn RoversMillwall
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Blackburn RoversMillwall
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Blackburn RoversMillwall
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Blackburn RoversMillwall
60%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Blackburn RoversMillwall
20%No goal after half-time40%
Blackburn RoversMillwall

Blackburn Rovers - second-half results

40% W40% R20% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Millwall - second-half results

60% W0% R40% P
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Blackburn Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Millwall - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Blackburn Rovers
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
5
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Blackburn Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Blackburn RoversLigaMillwall
Average goals in match 2.602.87 3.60
Both teams scored 80%67% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%65% 80%
Clean sheets 20%21% 60%
Goal before half-time 60%80% 100%
Goal after half-time 80%75% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Blackburn Rovers 2 - 0 - 0 Millwall. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Blackburn Rovers and Millwall play?

Blackburn Rovers face Millwall on 12 September 2026 in Championship at Ewood Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Blackburn Rovers won 2, Millwall won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?

Blackburn Rovers score 1.20 goals per game on average and Millwall 2.00. The Championship average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Blackburn Rovers's matches and 20% of Millwall's.

What form are Blackburn Rovers and Millwall in?

Over the last 5 games Blackburn Rovers have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Millwall 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.