Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Boca Juniors played Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Boca Juniors: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Vélez Sarsfield: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Boca Juniors scores 1.41 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.06 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Boca Juniors 47%, Vélez Sarsfield 47%. Over 2.5: Boca Juniors 35%, Vélez Sarsfield 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Boca Juniors has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.48. Boca Juniors: 13.1 shots per match, Vélez Sarsfield: 12.7.
Match halves
Boca Juniors: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88. Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Boca Juniors: 76-90+ (8 goals). Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Boca Juniors very rarely lose at home, suffering defeat in just 11% of matches, but as many as 56% of their home games end in a draw. The hosts control play effectively, averaging 65% possession and creating chances worth 1.70 xG per match, yet they score only 1.11 goals, with a shot conversion rate of 7%. Vélez Sarsfield are in better current form, collecting 10 points from their last five matches and conceding just 3 goals during that run, compared with Boca’s 6. The visitors are also more clinical in front of goal, averaging 1.33 goals away from home with a 13% conversion rate, although their defence allows opponents 1.54 xG. Boca’s solid defence, high draw frequency and Vélez’s strong recent form point to a closely contested match, with a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Boca record both teams scoring in only 36% of matches, with this figure falling to 20% over their last five games. The defenses have been consistent: Boca keep a clean sheet in 45% of matches and Vélez in 44%, while conceding an average of just 0.64 and 0.78 goals per game, respectively. Vélez have conceded only 3 goals in their last five matches, or 0.6 per game, limiting the chances of the hosts, who average 1.0 goal per game over the season. The low percentage of matches featuring over 2.5 goals—27% for Boca and 22% for Vélez—also supports the expectation of a tight game in which at least one side may fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The profile of both teams clearly points to a low-scoring match: Boca concede just 0.64 goals per game on average, while Vélez concede 0.78. Under 2.5 goals has landed in 73% of Boca’s matches and 78% of Vélez’s, while the 3.5-goal line was not exceeded in 91% and 78% of cases, respectively. In their last five matches, Vélez conceded only 3 goals, while Boca scored just 5 during that period, further limiting the hosts’ attacking potential. Although both teams’ xG figures suggest they create chances, Boca convert only 7% of their shots, and both sides keep a clean sheet in approximately 44-45% of matches. Therefore, the strongest selection is Under 3.5 goals, as this line would only lose if at least four goals were scored in a clash between two defensively solid teams.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as Boca have been level at the break in 45% of their matches, compared with as many as 56% for Vélez. The first halves involving both teams are notably low-scoring: Boca average 0.73 total goals, while Vélez average 1.11, with both teams scoring before the break in just 9% of Boca’s matches. Both defences have been solid throughout the competition, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals for Boca and 0.78 for Vélez, while keeping clean sheets in 45% and 44% of matches respectively. Vélez are in good form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and only 0.6 goals conceded per game, which limits Boca’s advantage despite home-field advantage. After the break, the visitors score an average of 0.78 goals but concede just 0.22, making it more likely that the draw will be preserved than that the match will be decisively settled.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Boca Juniors | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boca Juniors is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Boca Juniors · 1.2 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boca Juniors is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Boca Juniors · 1.06 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Boca Juniors · 0.76 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Boca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boca Juniors
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Boca Juniors
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Boca Juniors | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.12 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Boca Juniors 1 - 0 - 1 Vélez Sarsfield. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Boca Juniors 1:1 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boca Juniors and Vélez Sarsfield?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1, Vélez Sarsfield won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Boca Juniors score 1.41 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.06. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Boca Juniors's matches and 47% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Boca Juniors and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Boca Juniors have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.