Ireland - Premier DivisionDalymount ParkData current as of 16 October 2026

Bohemians vs Waterford: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bohemians vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bohemians play Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Dalymount Park.

Current form

Bohemians: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Waterford: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bohemians scores 1.76 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Waterford scores 1.38 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bohemians 67%, Waterford 59%. Over 2.5: Bohemians 64%, Waterford 47%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Bohemians has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.46. Bohemians: 16.2 shots per match, Waterford: 13.5.

Match halves

Bohemians: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06. Waterford: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Bohemians: 76-90+ (15 goals). Waterford: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-3. Average goals 2.71, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.41)
(4.70)
(6.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BohemiansWaterford
1.76Goals scored / match1.38
BohemiansWaterford
1.21Goals conceded / match1.69
BohemiansWaterford
59%Average possession38%
BohemiansWaterford
5.52Shots on target / match4.16
BohemiansWaterford

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.18Shots per match13.5
BohemiansWaterford
5.52Shots on target4.16
BohemiansWaterford
10.9%Shot conversion10.2%
BohemiansWaterford
59%Possession38%
BohemiansWaterford
1.78xG for1.46
BohemiansWaterford
1.17xG against1.93
BohemiansWaterford

Shooting quality

Bohemians: DominantWaterford: Balanced
BohemiansWaterford
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bohemians is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Bohemians · 1.2 pts / match - Waterford

Bohemians
WWWWL
Season result split
52% W24% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-8-8
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.27Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Waterford
DWDDL
Season result split
22% W41% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-13-12
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-9
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bohemians is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.76 goals / match - Bohemians · 1.38 goals / match - Waterford

Bohemians is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - Bohemians · 1.69 goals / match - Waterford

Bohemians scoring profile: very strong

Bohemians scores in 91% of matches (30 of 33 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).

Waterford scoring profile: strong

Waterford scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Bohemians keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).

58Goals scored (season)44
BohemiansWaterford
40Goals conceded (season)54
BohemiansWaterford
2.97Average goals in match3.06
BohemiansWaterford
11Goals scored (last 5)7
BohemiansWaterford
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
BohemiansWaterford

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal69%
BohemiansWaterford
45%2 goals41%
BohemiansWaterford
27%3 goals22%
BohemiansWaterford
9%4 goals6%
BohemiansWaterford

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal81%
BohemiansWaterford
39%2 goals50%
BohemiansWaterford
12%3 goals22%
BohemiansWaterford
3%4 goals13%
BohemiansWaterford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time28%
BohemiansWaterford
3%BTTS in both halves13%
BohemiansWaterford
30%Scored in both halves31%
BohemiansWaterford

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
BohemiansWaterford
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BohemiansWaterford
80%BTTS - last 560%
BohemiansWaterford

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
BohemiansWaterford
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
BohemiansWaterford
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
BohemiansWaterford

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
BohemiansWaterford
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
BohemiansWaterford
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
BohemiansWaterford

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bohemians is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Bohemians · 1.13 pts / match - Waterford

Bohemians - half-time state
39% leading33% draw27% trailing
Waterford - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)1.13
BohemiansWaterford
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.63
BohemiansWaterford
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
BohemiansWaterford
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.38
BohemiansWaterford
58%Clean sheet before half-time41%
BohemiansWaterford
42%No goal before half-time50%
BohemiansWaterford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.73Points per match (2nd half)1.22
BohemiansWaterford
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
BohemiansWaterford
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
BohemiansWaterford
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.69
BohemiansWaterford
52%Clean sheet after half-time44%
BohemiansWaterford
36%No goal after half-time50%
BohemiansWaterford

Bohemians - second-half results

45% W36% D18% L
50
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Waterford - second-half results

31% W28% D41% L
36
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bohemians - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Waterford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bohemians
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
13
4
16-30
3
12
31-45
9
6
46-60
11
7
61-75
15
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Waterford
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
4
9
16-30
13
7
31-45
8
7
46-60
6
8
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.02
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bohemians

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Waterford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

BohemiansLigaWaterford
Average goals in match▲ 2.972.80▲ 3.06
Both teams scored▲ 67%61%▼ 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%52%▼ 47%
Clean sheets▲ 33%24%▼ 19%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%74%▲ 81%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%77%• 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Bohemians 3 - 1 - 3 Waterford. Average goals 2.71, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Waterford
3 : 1
Bohemians
Bohemians
1 : 1
Waterford
Waterford
0 : 1
Bohemians
Bohemian FC
2 : 1
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
2 : 1
Bohemian FC
Bohemian FC
1 : 2
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
0 : 3
Bohemian FC

FAQ

When do Bohemians and Waterford play?

Bohemians face Waterford on 16 October 2026 in Premier Division at Dalymount Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bohemians and Waterford?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Bohemians won 3, Waterford won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bohemians vs Waterford?

Bohemians score 1.76 goals per game on average and Waterford 1.38. The Premier Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Bohemians's matches and 59% of Waterford's.

What form are Bohemians and Waterford in?

Over the last 5 games Bohemians have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Waterford 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bohemians vs Waterford?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.