Italy - Serie AStadio Renato Dall'AraData current as of 16 October 2026

Bologna vs Inter Milan: match statistics

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Bologna vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bologna play Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Current form

Bologna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Inter Milan: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bologna scores 0.83 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Inter Milan scores 3.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bologna 50%, Inter Milan 67%. Over 2.5: Bologna 33%, Inter Milan 83%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Inter Milan has higher xG: 2.36 vs 1.29. Bologna: 12.7 shots per match, Inter Milan: 22.5.

Match halves

Bologna: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Inter Milan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.83.

Goals by minute

Bologna: 0-15 (1 goals). Inter Milan: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(5.41)
(4.47)
(1.65)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BolognaInter Milan
0.83Goals scored / match3
BolognaInter Milan
1.17Goals conceded / match1.33
BolognaInter Milan
51%Average possession62%
BolognaInter Milan
3.5Shots on target / match7.17
BolognaInter Milan

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.67Shots per match22.5
BolognaInter Milan
3.5Shots on target7.17
BolognaInter Milan
6.6%Shot conversion13.3%
BolognaInter Milan
51%Possession62%
BolognaInter Milan
1.29xG for2.36
BolognaInter Milan
1.39xG against1.18
BolognaInter Milan

Shooting quality

Bologna: BalancedInter Milan: Dominant
BolognaInter Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)28%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inter Milan is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Bologna · 2.6 pts / match - Inter Milan

Bologna
LDLDW
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
LDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Inter Milan
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
83% W17% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-0
2.67 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.54Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter Milan is 261% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Bologna · 3 goals / match - Inter Milan

Bologna is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Bologna · 1.33 goals / match - Inter Milan

Bologna scoring profile: mixed

Bologna scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Inter Milan scoring profile: very strong

Inter Milan scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

5Goals scored (season)18
BolognaInter Milan
7Goals conceded (season)8
BolognaInter Milan
2Average goals in match4.33
BolognaInter Milan
5Goals scored (last 5)14
BolognaInter Milan
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
BolognaInter Milan

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
BolognaInter Milan
33%2 goals83%
BolognaInter Milan
0%3 goals67%
BolognaInter Milan
0%4 goals33%
BolognaInter Milan

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
BolognaInter Milan
17%2 goals50%
BolognaInter Milan
0%3 goals17%
BolognaInter Milan
0%4 goals0%
BolognaInter Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan
0%BTTS in both halves17%
BolognaInter Milan
17%Scored in both halves33%
BolognaInter Milan

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
BolognaInter Milan
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
BolognaInter Milan
60%BTTS - last 560%
BolognaInter Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
BolognaInter Milan
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
BolognaInter Milan

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bologna - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Inter Milan - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.5
BolognaInter Milan
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1.17
BolognaInter Milan
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
BolognaInter Milan
0.5Average goals (1st half)2
BolognaInter Milan
83%Clean sheet before half-time50%
BolognaInter Milan
67%No goal before half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)2.33
BolognaInter Milan
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.83
BolognaInter Milan
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
BolognaInter Milan
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2.33
BolognaInter Milan
0%Clean sheet after half-time67%
BolognaInter Milan
67%No goal after half-time33%
BolognaInter Milan

Bologna - second-half results

17% W17% D67% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inter Milan - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bologna - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Inter Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bologna
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Inter Milan
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bologna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Inter Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
227%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BolognaLigaInter Milan
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.87▲ 4.33
Both teams scored▼ 50%60%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%57%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%67%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%85%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Bologna 0 - 1 - 1 Inter Milan. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Bologna and Inter Milan play?

Bologna face Inter Milan on 17 October 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Inter Milan?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0, Inter Milan won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bologna vs Inter Milan?

Bologna score 0.83 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 3.00. The Serie A average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bologna's matches and 67% of Inter Milan's.

What form are Bologna and Inter Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Bologna have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inter Milan 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bologna vs Inter Milan?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bologna vs Inter Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.