Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bolton Wanderers played Rotherham United in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Bolton Wanderers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Rotherham United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bolton Wanderers scores 1.40 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Rotherham United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bolton Wanderers 55%, Rotherham United 48%. Over 2.5: Bolton Wanderers 40%, Rotherham United 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.13. Bolton Wanderers: 16.8 shots per match, Rotherham United: 9.6.

Match halves

Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Rotherham United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (7 goals). Rotherham United: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
28Shots14
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
12Shots on target5
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
3.1xG1.56
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
9Corners0
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
70Dangerous attacks46
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
5Fouls13
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
1Cards2
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bolton WanderersRotherham United
1.4Goals scored / match1
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0.95Goals conceded / match1.29
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
59%Average possession45%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
4.95Shots on target / match2.81
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.8Shots per match9.62
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
4.95Shots on target2.81
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
8.3%Shot conversion10.4%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
59%Possession45%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
1.82xG for1.13
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0.94xG against1.37
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

Shooting quality

Bolton Wanderers: DominantRotherham United: Balanced
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
Accuracy (shots on target)29%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bolton Wanderers is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers · 0.4 pts / match - Rotherham United

Bolton Wanderers
DDWWL
Season result split
45% W35% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-4
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Rotherham United
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-9
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bolton Wanderers is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1 goals / match - Rotherham United

Bolton Wanderers is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.29 goals / match - Rotherham United

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).

Rotherham United scoring profile: strong

Rotherham United scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

28Goals scored (season)21
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
19Goals conceded (season)27
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
2.35Average goals in match2.29
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal67%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
35%2 goals29%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
15%3 goals5%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
10%4 goals0%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal76%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
20%2 goals38%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
5%3 goals14%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0%4 goals0%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Bolton Wanderers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 20 matches
48%
Rotherham United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 21 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time0%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
20%Scored in both halves10%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bolton Wanderers is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers · 1.24 pts / match - Rotherham United

Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
35% leading30% draw35% trailing
Rotherham United - half-time state
33% leading24% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.24
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
1.05Average goals (1st half)1
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
60%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
60%No goal before half-time67%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
60%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United
40%No goal after half-time57%
Bolton WanderersRotherham United

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
27
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rotherham United - second-half results

33% W29% D38% L
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bolton Wanderers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Rotherham United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-60
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Rotherham United
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
7
46-60
4
3
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.88
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Rotherham United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Bolton WanderersLigaRotherham United
Average goals in match 2.352.52 2.29
Both teams scored 55%51% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%49% 52%
Clean sheets 30%27% 24%
Goal before half-time 70%68% 76%
Goal after half-time 80%82% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Bolton WanderersGoalJoshua Luke Sheehan
  2. Rotherham UnitedYellow cardAr'jany Martha
  3. Bolton WanderersYellow cardMax Conway
  4. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Samuel George DalbyOff: Marcus Forss
  5. Rotherham UnitedSubstitutionOn: Thomas HolmesOff: Hamish Douglas
  6. Rotherham UnitedYellow cardJamal Baptiste
  7. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Mason BurstowOff: Thierry Gale
  8. Rotherham UnitedGoalSamuel Tshiayima Nombe
  9. Bolton WanderersGoalJoshua Luke SheehanAssist: Amario Cozier-Duberry

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Elliot BellMatches officiated: 20
3.3Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 265%Home wins25%Draws10%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United?

The EFL League One match finished Bolton Wanderers 2:1 Rotherham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United?

Bolton Wanderers score 1.40 goals per game on average and Rotherham United 1.00. The EFL League One average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Bolton Wanderers's matches and 48% of Rotherham United's.

What form are Bolton Wanderers and Rotherham United in?

Over the last 5 games Bolton Wanderers have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Rotherham United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United?

The statistical background for Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.