Brazil - Serie BEstádio Santa CruzData current as of 07 September 2026

Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Botafogo SP play Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 9 September 2026. Venue: Estádio Santa Cruz.

Current form

Botafogo SP: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Novorizontino: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Botafogo SP scores 1.12 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.69 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Botafogo SP 50%, Novorizontino 50%. Over 2.5: Botafogo SP 42%, Novorizontino 58%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.40. Botafogo SP: 12.6 shots per match, Novorizontino: 15.2.

Match halves

Botafogo SP: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.65. Novorizontino: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.04.

Goals by minute

Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (7 goals). Novorizontino: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Botafogo SPNovorizontino
1.12Goals scored / match1.69
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
1.12Goals conceded / match0.88
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
48%Average possession48%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
3.77Shots on target / match5.27
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.62Shots per match15.19
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
3.77Shots on target5.27
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
8.8%Shot conversion11.1%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
48%Possession48%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
1.4xG for1.66
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
1.4xG against1.2
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

Shooting quality

Botafogo SP: BalancedNovorizontino: Attacking
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
Accuracy (shots on target)30%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Novorizontino is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 2.6 pts / match - Novorizontino

Botafogo SP
WDLLL
Season result split
31% W27% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-11
1.19 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Novorizontino
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W27% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-6
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novorizontino is 51% better for: goals scored per match.

1.12 goals / match - Botafogo SP · 1.69 goals / match - Novorizontino

Novorizontino is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.12 goals / match - Botafogo SP · 0.88 goals / match - Novorizontino

Botafogo SP scoring profile: strong

Botafogo SP scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).

Novorizontino scoring profile: very strong

Novorizontino scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).

29Goals scored (season)44
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
29Goals conceded (season)23
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
2.23Average goals in match2.58
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
3Goals scored (last 5)12
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal73%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
27%2 goals54%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
15%3 goals31%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
8%4 goals12%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal65%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
23%2 goals15%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
8%3 goals8%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
0%4 goals0%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time27%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
19%Scored in both halves38%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
40%BTTS - last 560%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Novorizontino is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 1.5 pts / match - Novorizontino

Botafogo SP - half-time state
23% leading58% draw19% trailing
Novorizontino - half-time state
31% leading58% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.5
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
0.77Average goals (1st half)1.04
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
73%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
69%No goal before half-time50%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

After half-time (2nd half)

1.15Points per match (2nd half)1.81
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
1.46Average goals (2nd half)1.54
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
38%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino
50%No goal after half-time38%
Botafogo SPNovorizontino

Botafogo SP - second-half results

27% W35% R38% P
33
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Novorizontino - second-half results

50% W31% R19% P
39
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botafogo SP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Novorizontino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.80
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Botafogo SP
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
8
46-60
4
7
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Novorizontino
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
6
16-30
9
3
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
1
61-75
14
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Botafogo SP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Novorizontino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Botafogo SPLigaNovorizontino
Average goals in match 2.232.30 2.58
Both teams scored 50%48% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%42% 58%
Clean sheets 19%31% 35%
Goal before half-time 50%66% 62%
Goal after half-time 81%75% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.30
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.29
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Botafogo SP 0 - 2 - 1 Novorizontino. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Novorizontino
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
Grêmio Novorizontino
1 : 1
Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto
Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto
0 : 0
Grêmio Novorizontino

FAQ

When do Botafogo SP and Novorizontino play?

Botafogo SP face Novorizontino on 9 September 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Santa Cruz. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo SP and Novorizontino?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0, Novorizontino won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?

Botafogo SP score 1.12 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.69. The Serie B average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Botafogo SP's matches and 50% of Novorizontino's.

What form are Botafogo SP and Novorizontino in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo SP have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Novorizontino 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.