Botafogo vs Bragantino: match statistics
Botafogo vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo played Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Botafogo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Bragantino: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo scores 1.48 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Bragantino scores 1.24 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo 68%, Bragantino 48%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 68%, Bragantino 40%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.54. Botafogo: 14.2 shots per match, Bragantino: 16.2.
Match halves
Botafogo: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.84. Bragantino: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Botafogo: 76-90+ (12 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Botafogo hold a home advantage in chance creation, averaging 1.79 xG and scoring 1.67 goals per home match, while Bragantino record just 1.54 xG and 1.00 goal away from home. The hosts also attempt more shots, 16.67 compared with 14.50, and hit the target more frequently, averaging 5.58 shots on target versus the visitors’ 4.83. Bragantino have shown a more solid away defensive record, conceding 1.17 goals per match compared with Botafogo’s 1.42, but they have lost as many as 42% of their matches away from home. Both teams’ form is limited, but Botafogo have scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, compared with Bragantino’s 7, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested, low-scoring encounter. Despite their poor recent finishing, Botafogo’s superior quality of chances created at home and Bragantino’s negative away record provide a slight edge to the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS is weaker than the league average: Botafogo have seen both teams score in 46% of their matches, while the figure for Bragantino is 50%, compared with 57% across the league. The hosts have been particularly unconvincing in attack over their last five fixtures, scoring just 3 goals—an average of 0.6 per match—with BTTS landing in only 20% of that run. Botafogo keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches, while Bragantino fail to score in 25% of games, which meaningfully strengthens the scenario in which at least one side remains goalless. Bragantino do have a high recent xG of 2.07 and BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, but their opponent allows an average of only 1.03 xG this season. Botafogo’s defensive quality advantage and the hosts’ current finishing problems point slightly towards BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profile clearly limits the prospect of a very high-scoring game: Botafogo had fewer than 3.5 goals in 77% of its matches, while Bragantino has recorded this outcome in every match so far. The visitors score only 1.00 goal per game on average, while the hosts concede 1.08, limiting their expected output to around 1.16 goals. Botafogo creates chances worth 1.87 xG at home from 17.85 shots, but converts this into 1.46 goals, while Bragantino allows an average of 1.17 goals away from home. The last five matches were slightly more open in terms of chance quality, with average xG figures of 1.98 for Botafogo and 2.07 for Bragantino, but the hosts scored just 3 goals during this period. A total projection of 2.50 goals, combined with Bragantino having no matches with more than 3 goals, gives the strongest edge to Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Bragantino were level at the break in 50% of their matches this season and in as many as 60% of their last five games. Although Botafogo have led at half-time in 46% of their home matches and average 1.00 goal before the break, their current form is clearly weaker: they have scored just 0.20 goals in the first half across their last five matches and lost the first half in 60% of them. After the break, Bragantino have been more effective, averaging 0.67 goals compared with Botafogo’s 0.46, while over their last five matches the figures stand at 0.80 and 0.40 respectively. The visitors have scored at least one goal after half-time in 100% of their last five matches, whereas Botafogo failed to score after the break in 80% of those games, strengthening the HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time and a Bragantino win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bragantino is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Botafogo · 0.8 pts / match - Bragantino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.24 goals / match - Bragantino
Bragantino is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.12 goals / match - Bragantino
Botafogo scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Bragantino scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Botafogo
Over / Under - Bragantino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.44 pts / match - Bragantino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo
Bragantino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo | Liga | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.08 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Botafogo 2 - 0 - 1 Bragantino. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo vs Bragantino?
The Serie A match finished Botafogo 1:1 Bragantino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Bragantino?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 2, Bragantino won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Bragantino?
Botafogo score 1.48 goals per game on average and Bragantino 1.24. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Botafogo's matches and 48% of Bragantino's.
What form are Botafogo and Bragantino in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Bragantino 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Bragantino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.