Brazil - Serie AEstádio Nilton SantosData current as of 14 October 2026

Botafogo vs Chapecoense: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Botafogo vs Chapecoense: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Botafogo play Chapecoense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos.

Current form

Botafogo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chapecoense: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Botafogo scores 1.43 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Chapecoense scores 1.03 and concedes 2.10. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Botafogo 70%, Chapecoense 66%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 63%, Chapecoense 59%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Botafogo has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.32. Botafogo: 14.2 shots per match, Chapecoense: 12.9.

Match halves

Botafogo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.83. Chapecoense: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

Botafogo: 76-90+ (13 goals). Chapecoense: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.43)
(4.91)
(7.13)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BotafogoChapecoense
1.43Goals scored / match1.03
BotafogoChapecoense
1.6Goals conceded / match2.1
BotafogoChapecoense
47%Average possession43%
BotafogoChapecoense
5.1Shots on target / match3.59
BotafogoChapecoense

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.23Shots per match12.9
BotafogoChapecoense
5.1Shots on target3.59
BotafogoChapecoense
10.1%Shot conversion8%
BotafogoChapecoense
47%Possession43%
BotafogoChapecoense
1.55xG for1.32
BotafogoChapecoense
1.68xG against1.86
BotafogoChapecoense

Shooting quality

Botafogo: AttackingChapecoense: Balanced
BotafogoChapecoense
Accuracy (shots on target)36%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Botafogo is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Botafogo · 0.8 pts / match - Chapecoense

Botafogo
DWLLD
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-12
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-6-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Chapecoense
WLDLL
Season result split
10% W31% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-9-17
0.62 pts / match · goal difference -31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 39% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.03 goals / match - Chapecoense

Botafogo is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Botafogo · 2.1 goals / match - Chapecoense

Botafogo scoring profile: very strong

Botafogo scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 29 matches).

Chapecoense scoring profile: very strong

Chapecoense scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).

43Goals scored (season)30
BotafogoChapecoense
48Goals conceded (season)61
BotafogoChapecoense
3.03Average goals in match3.14
BotafogoChapecoense
6Goals scored (last 5)5
BotafogoChapecoense
8Goals conceded (last 5)12
BotafogoChapecoense

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal69%
BotafogoChapecoense
40%2 goals21%
BotafogoChapecoense
20%3 goals10%
BotafogoChapecoense
7%4 goals3%
BotafogoChapecoense

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal93%
BotafogoChapecoense
47%2 goals69%
BotafogoChapecoense
17%3 goals31%
BotafogoChapecoense
7%4 goals17%
BotafogoChapecoense

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time34%
BotafogoChapecoense
10%BTTS in both halves14%
BotafogoChapecoense
23%Scored in both halves17%
BotafogoChapecoense

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
BotafogoChapecoense
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
BotafogoChapecoense
80%BTTS - last 580%
BotafogoChapecoense

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
BotafogoChapecoense
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
BotafogoChapecoense
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
BotafogoChapecoense

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
BotafogoChapecoense
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
BotafogoChapecoense
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
BotafogoChapecoense

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Botafogo · 0.72 pts / match - Chapecoense

Botafogo - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing
Chapecoense - half-time state
7% leading52% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)0.72
BotafogoChapecoense
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.41
BotafogoChapecoense
0.77Goals conceded (1st half)1
BotafogoChapecoense
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.41
BotafogoChapecoense
37%Clean sheet before half-time34%
BotafogoChapecoense
57%No goal before half-time59%
BotafogoChapecoense

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)0.79
BotafogoChapecoense
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
BotafogoChapecoense
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
BotafogoChapecoense
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.72
BotafogoChapecoense
43%Clean sheet after half-time17%
BotafogoChapecoense
43%No goal after half-time55%
BotafogoChapecoense

Botafogo - second-half results

37% W37% D27% L
36
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chapecoense - second-half results

14% W38% D48% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Chapecoense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
7
9
0-15
3
8
16-30
8
6
31-45
7
12
46-60
5
3
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Chapecoense
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
6
12
16-30
5
11
31-45
3
12
46-60
5
10
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Chapecoense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BotafogoLigaChapecoense
Average goals in match▲ 3.032.68▲ 3.14
Both teams scored▲ 70%60%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%52%▲ 59%
Clean sheets▼ 13%23%▼ 7%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%75%▼ 72%
Goal after half-time• 80%79%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Botafogo 1 - 0 - 0 Chapecoense. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Botafogo and Chapecoense play?

Botafogo face Chapecoense on 17 October 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Nilton Santos. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Chapecoense?

Botafogo score 1.43 goals per game on average and Chapecoense 1.03. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Botafogo's matches and 66% of Chapecoense's.

What form are Botafogo and Chapecoense in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chapecoense 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Chapecoense?

The statistical background for Botafogo vs Chapecoense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.