Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botev Plovdiv played Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 10 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Hristo Botev. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Spartak Varna: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botev Plovdiv scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Spartak Varna scores 2.00 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botev Plovdiv 67%, Spartak Varna 33%. Over 2.5: Botev Plovdiv 33%, Spartak Varna 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Botev Plovdiv has higher xG: 2.10 vs 1.05. Botev Plovdiv: 15.0 shots per match, Spartak Varna: 8.0.
Match halves
Botev Plovdiv: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Spartak Varna: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Botev Plovdiv: 76-90+ (2 goals). Spartak Varna: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Spartak Varna sit 3rd and remain unbeaten this season, winning 4 of their last five matches and drawing just once; over the same period, Botev recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The visitors are highly effective, scoring 11 goals in their last five games, while away from home they average 3 goals per match with a 38% shot conversion rate. Their defence also looks solid, having conceded just 2 goals in their last five outings, while their only away match so far ended with a clean sheet. Botev have home advantage, average 16 shots and post an xG of 2.27, but this has translated into only 1 goal per home game. The hosts should dominate possession for long periods, as their average possession stands at 58% compared with Spartak’s 36%, but the visitors’ current form, superior efficiency and tighter defence slightly favour an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - No is primarily driven by Spartak’s very solid defensive record: the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their league matches so far, and have conceded just 2 goals in their last five games, averaging 0.4 per match. BTTS has occurred in only 0% of Spartak’s matches this season and 20% of their last five, while as many as 100% of their matches with at least three goals ended with one side failing to score. Botev nevertheless pose a genuine threat, having averaged 2.19 xG and scored 2.0 goals per game across their last five matches, which is why the No edge is not substantial. Spartak also possess a strong attack, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five appearances, but their effective defence increases the likelihood that the hosts could be the side to fail to break through. The scenario in which at least one team fails to score is therefore slightly more likely than both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Spartak Varna are in very good defensive form: they have conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, and have yet to concede in their away-season data. Botev have averaged 2.0 goals in their last five matches, but against such a solid defence, their projected total drops to around 1.22 goals. The visitors have recently scored 2.2 goals per match, but the hosts allow an average of just 1.2 goals, limiting Spartak’s projection to 1.38. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last five matches; however, neither had a game exceeding 4.5 goals, while the combined projection of 2.60 clearly supports a lower line. The strongest selection is Under 3.5 goals, as a four-goal or higher scenario would require breaking through the visitors’ very strong defence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Spartak Varna are in clearly stronger current form: they have won 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 0.4. The visitors led at the break in each of their last five games, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before half-time, while Botev averaged 0.8 goals in this phase and were level at half-time in 60% of their matches. Spartak’s defence is an additional argument, having kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season and in 80% of their last five outings. Botev have been capable of starting well at home, but they have averaged no goals after the break, while Spartak have scored 2.0 goals per game in that period. Therefore, the most likely scenario is for the visitors to lead at half-time and secure the final victory: HT/FT 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botev Plovdiv | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 56% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.67 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spartak Varna is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 2.33 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spartak Varna is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 2 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 0.67 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Spartak Varna scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Botev Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Botev Plovdiv
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spartak Varna is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 3 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botev Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 67%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 0% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Botev Plovdiv | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Botev Plovdiv 1 - 0 - 1 Spartak Varna. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished Botev Plovdiv 3:2 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botev Plovdiv and Spartak Varna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 1, Spartak Varna won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.33 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 2.00. The First League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Botev Plovdiv's matches and 33% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are Botev Plovdiv and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games Botev Plovdiv have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Spartak Varna 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
The statistical background for Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


