Brøndby vs Nordsjælland: match statistics
Brøndby vs Nordsjælland: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brøndby played Nordsjælland in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 1 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Brøndby: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Nordsjælland: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brøndby scores 1.38 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Nordsjælland scores 1.59 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brøndby 34%, Nordsjælland 52%. Over 2.5: Brøndby 45%, Nordsjælland 62%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Brøndby has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.61. Brøndby: 14.3 shots per match, Nordsjælland: 13.3.
Match halves
Brøndby: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.59. Nordsjælland: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Brøndby: 31-45+ (10 goals). Nordsjælland: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brøndby holds a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.86 goals scored and 1.21 conceded with average xG 1.70 and xG against 1.41, resulting in a positive home goal difference of +9. Nordsjælland do have more goals this season (46 vs 40) and a better points return in the last 5 matches (1.6 vs 1.2), but they score only 1.21 goals away and concede 1.93, leaving them with a negative away goal difference of -10. Shot metrics also favor the hosts: Brøndby average 14.5 shots and 5.07 on target at home (conversion 13%), while Nordsjælland average 11.43 shots and 4.36 on target away (conversion 11%). Brøndby have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches versus Nordsjælland’s 6, and clean sheet percentage is 36% for the hosts versus 14% for the visitors, which reduces the away side’s chances. Considering the xG advantage (1.70 vs 1.36), higher conversion rate and superior home goal balance, I predict a Brøndby win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I tip BTTS - Yes as the favorite: Nordsjælland have BTTS at 80% in their last 5 matches (4/5), while Brøndby are 53% on the season and 40% in their last 5. Brøndby score at home on average 1.93 goals (xG 1.85) and average 6.67 shots on target, whereas Nordsjælland concede 1.93 goals on the season and have only a 14% clean sheet rate away, which strongly suggests a home goal. The visitors also have offensive arguments: Nordsjælland score 1.21 goals on the season (xG 1.36) and their average xG_for in the last 5 is 1.73, while Brøndby concede 1.4 goals on average in their last 5, so the visitors have realistic chances to score. Additionally, the league has BTTS 60% and an average of 3.05 goals per match, and over 2.5 occurs for home and away teams in 60% and 64% of cases respectively, which boosts the probability of both teams scoring. Considering Nordsjælland’s poor away clean sheet rate (14%), Brøndby’s high xG (1.85) and the visitors’ 80% BTTS in their last 5, I assess BTTS - Yes at 70% versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals total 3.07: Brøndby 1.78 (average of attack xG 1.85 and opponent defense xG 1.71) and Nordsjælland 1.29 (average of attack xG 1.36 and opponent defense xG 1.21). A Poisson model with λ=3.07 yields probabilities of Over 1.5 goals ≈81%, Over 2.5 ≈59% and Over 3.5 ≈37%. Seasonal stats confirm an attacking profile: Over>1.5 occurred in 73% of home matches and 79% of away matches, and Over>2.5 in 60% and 64% respectively; league average is 3.05 goals per game. Brøndby scores 1.93 goals/game on average, Nordsjælland concedes 1.93 goals/game on average, so the strongest signal at available lines is an Over 1.5 bet (highest probability with clear support from xG and seasonal percentages).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Brøndby are the clear favorites: the hosts win 60% of matches and have led at the break in 47% of games, whereas Nordsjælland led at the break in only 21% of matches. In attack Brøndby average 1.93 goals per game with an xG of 1.85 and 15 shots (6.67 on target), while Nordsjælland have 1.21 goals, xG 1.36 and 11.43 shots (4.36 on target), which demonstrates the hosts’ advantage in chance creation. At half-time Brøndby score on average 0.8 goals and concede 0.27, whereas the visitors score 0.57 and concede 1.0, and the hosts keep a clean sheet at the break in 73% of matches, increasing the likelihood of a lead after the first 45 minutes. In the second half Brøndby score on average 1.13 goals versus 0.64 for the visitors and maintain clean sheets in 67% of second halves, so holding or extending the lead is more likely than a turnaround. Therefore the strongest signal is Half-Time/Full-Time home win (1/1) — I assign this about a 35% probability, with X/1 at 19% and 1/X at 9% as alternative scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brøndby | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nordsjælland is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Brøndby · 1.6 pts / match - Nordsjælland
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nordsjælland is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Brøndby · 1.59 goals / match - Nordsjælland
Brøndby is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Brøndby · 1.52 goals / match - Nordsjælland
Brøndby scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Nordsjælland keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Nordsjælland scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Brøndby keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brøndby
Over / Under - Nordsjælland
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brøndby is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - Brøndby · 1.34 pts / match - Nordsjælland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brøndby - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nordsjælland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brøndby
Nordsjælland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Brøndby | Liga | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 3.05 | • 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Brøndby 2 - 0 - 1 Nordsjælland. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brøndby vs Nordsjælland?
The Superliga match finished Brøndby 1:1 Nordsjælland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Brøndby and Nordsjælland?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Brøndby won 2, Nordsjælland won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Brøndby vs Nordsjælland?
Brøndby score 1.38 goals per game on average and Nordsjælland 1.59. The Superliga average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Brøndby's matches and 52% of Nordsjælland's.
What form are Brøndby and Nordsjælland in?
Over the last 5 games Brøndby have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nordsjælland 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brøndby vs Nordsjælland?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Brøndby vs Nordsjælland: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.