Breidablik vs Keflavík: match statistics
Breidablik vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Breidablik played Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Kópavogsvöllur. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Breidablik: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Keflavík: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Breidablik scores 1.96 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Breidablik 71%, Keflavík 75%. Over 2.5: Breidablik 71%, Keflavík 67%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Breidablik has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.65. Breidablik: 14.1 shots per match, Keflavík: 14.8.
Match halves
Breidablik: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.08. Keflavík: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Breidablik: 46-60 (12 goals). Keflavík: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.87 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Breidablik have a clear home advantage: they have won 55% of these matches and scored an average of 2.27 goals, while Keflavík have lost 67% of their away games and conceded 2.42 goals per match. The hosts also create better chances—their home xG is 1.85 compared with the visitors’ 1.42 away, while their average shots on target stand at 5.64 and 3.67, respectively. Both teams have been inconsistent recently, but Breidablik have won 2 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 for Keflavík; both sides have conceded 10 goals over that period. This makes backing the hosts less certain, particularly as they concede an average of 1.91 goals at home. However, Keflavík’s poor away defence and 8% clean-sheet rate tip the balance in Breidablik’s favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 67% of Breidablik matches and 83% of Keflavík matches, while the figure stands at 80% for each team across their last five games. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals, while the visitors concede 2.42, strongly supporting a Breidablik goal. Keflavík score an average of 1.33 goals and have an xG of 1.42; the hosts’ defence allows opponents chances worth an average of 1.67 xG. Both teams have conceded 2 goals per game across their last five matches, so despite Breidablik’s home advantage, a goal from the visitors is also likely. The case for BTTS - Yes is further supported by the fact that each team has failed to score in only 8% of its matches.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was surpassed in 75% of Breidablik's matches and 92% of Keflavík's matches. The hosts average 1.67 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.42, giving Breidablik a clear chance to score multiple goals. Keflavík could also get on the scoresheet, as their average xG is 1.42 and Breidablik have conceded an average of 2.0 goals over their last five matches. During the same period, Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of both teams' matches, but Over 1.5 requires just two goals and is supported by a stronger signal. The projected total of 3.47 goals points to a goal-heavy game, although uncertainty increases at higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Breidablik leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes: the hosts led at half-time in 42% of matches, while Keflavík were trailing at that point in 50%. In first halves, Breidablik score an average of 0.83 goals, while the visitors concede 1.00 and score just 0.42 themselves. The hosts’ advantage is also evident across full matches: they average 17.5 shots compared with their opponents’ 12.08, while Keflavík concede 2.42 goals per match against Breidablik’s 1.67 goals scored. The visitors’ average of 1.42 goals conceded after the break favors the hosts holding their lead, although their 0.92 goals scored in second halves leaves some risk of an equalizer. Therefore, 1/1 has the highest probability, with a half-time draw followed by a home win as the main alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Breidablik | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Keflavík is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Breidablik · 0.8 pts / match - Keflavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Breidablik is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Breidablik · 1.5 goals / match - Keflavík
Keflavík is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.92 goals / match - Breidablik · 1.83 goals / match - Keflavík
Breidablik scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Keflavík scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Breidablik
Over / Under - Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keflavík is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Breidablik · 1.33 pts / match - Keflavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Breidablik
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Breidablik | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.88 | 3.87 | ▼ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 21% | 16% | ▲ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 83% | 82% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Breidablik 1 - 1 - 0 Keflavík. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Breidablik vs Keflavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Breidablik 3:1 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Breidablik and Keflavík?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Breidablik won 1, Keflavík won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Breidablik vs Keflavík?
Breidablik score 1.96 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.50. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Breidablik's matches and 75% of Keflavík's.
What form are Breidablik and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games Breidablik have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Keflavík 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Breidablik vs Keflavík?
The statistical background for Breidablik vs Keflavík — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.