Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildData current as of 05 August 2026

Breidablik vs Valur: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Breidablik vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Breidablik play Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 9 August 2026.

Current form

Breidablik: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Valur: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Breidablik scores 2.06 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Valur scores 1.65 and concedes 2.06. League average: 3.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Breidablik 65%, Valur 71%. Over 2.5: Breidablik 65%, Valur 71%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 71%.

xG, shots and style

Valur has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.65. Breidablik: 13.8 shots per match, Valur: 14.2.

Match halves

Breidablik: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.24. Valur: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Breidablik: 46-60 (9 goals). Valur: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Úrvalsdeild: 3.94 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 71%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.65)
(4.40)
(3.95)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.06Goals scored / match1.65
BreidablikValur
1.59Goals conceded / match2.06
BreidablikValur
54%Average possession50%
BreidablikValur
4.71Shots on target / match5.18
BreidablikValur

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.76Shots per match14.18
BreidablikValur
4.71Shots on target5.18
BreidablikValur
15%Shot conversion11.6%
BreidablikValur
54%Possession50%
BreidablikValur
1.65xG for1.68
BreidablikValur
1.83xG against2.25
BreidablikValur

Shooting quality

Breidablik: Efficient finishingValur: Attacking
BreidablikValur
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Breidablik is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Breidablik · 0.6 pts / match - Valur

Breidablik
WWDWL
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Valur
WLLLL
Season result split
35% W6% R59% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-10
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 2.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Breidablik is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

2.06 goals / match - Breidablik · 1.65 goals / match - Valur

Breidablik is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - Breidablik · 2.06 goals / match - Valur

Breidablik scoring profile: very strong

Breidablik scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

Valur scoring profile: very strong

Valur scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

35Goals scored (season)28
BreidablikValur
27Goals conceded (season)35
BreidablikValur
3.65Average goals in match3.71
BreidablikValur
5Goals scored (last 5)8
BreidablikValur
3Goals conceded (last 5)11
BreidablikValur

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal82%
BreidablikValur
59%2 goals47%
BreidablikValur
35%3 goals24%
BreidablikValur
18%4 goals12%
BreidablikValur

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal88%
BreidablikValur
35%2 goals65%
BreidablikValur
35%3 goals35%
BreidablikValur
18%4 goals12%
BreidablikValur

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

72%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time35%
BreidablikValur
18%BTTS in both halves6%
BreidablikValur
35%Scored in both halves35%
BreidablikValur

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
BreidablikValur
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BreidablikValur
40%BTTS - last 560%
BreidablikValur

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
BreidablikValur
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time65%
BreidablikValur
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
BreidablikValur

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
BreidablikValur
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
BreidablikValur
47%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
BreidablikValur

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Breidablik is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Breidablik · 1.29 pts / match - Valur

Breidablik - half-time state
35% leading29% draw35% trailing
Valur - half-time state
29% leading41% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.29
BreidablikValur
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.94
BreidablikValur
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)1.06
BreidablikValur
1.59Average goals (1st half)2
BreidablikValur
47%Clean sheet before half-time41%
BreidablikValur
53%No goal before half-time35%
BreidablikValur

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)0.88
BreidablikValur
1.24Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
BreidablikValur
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)1
BreidablikValur
2.06Average goals (2nd half)1.71
BreidablikValur
53%Clean sheet after half-time35%
BreidablikValur
29%No goal after half-time47%
BreidablikValur

Breidablik - second-half results

47% W29% R24% P
23
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Valur - second-half results

18% W35% R47% P
22
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Breidablik - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.20
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Valur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Breidablik
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
9
2
46-60
4
8
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Valur
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
7
6
16-30
3
7
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Breidablik

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Valur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

BreidablikLigaValur
Average goals in match 3.653.94 3.71
Both teams scored 65%72% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%71% 71%
Clean sheets 29%16% 12%
Goal before half-time 76%81% 88%
Goal after half-time 76%86% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.94
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
2.18
Home goals / match
1.76
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
42%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Breidablik 1 - 1 - 2 Valur. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Valur
3 : 2
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavík
1 : 1
Breidablik UBK
Valur Reykjavík
2 : 1
Breidablik UBK
Breidablik UBK
2 : 1
Valur Reykjavík

FAQ

When do Breidablik and Valur play?

Breidablik face Valur on 9 August 2026 in Úrvalsdeild. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Breidablik and Valur?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Breidablik won 1, Valur won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Breidablik vs Valur?

Breidablik score 2.06 goals per game on average and Valur 1.65. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Breidablik's matches and 71% of Valur's.

What form are Breidablik and Valur in?

Over the last 5 games Breidablik have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Valur 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Breidablik vs Valur?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Breidablik vs Valur: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.