France - Ligue 1Stade Francis-Le BleData current as of 21 October 2026

Brest vs Nice: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Brest vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Brest play Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Stade Francis-Le Ble.

Current form

Brest: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Nice: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Brest scores 1.86 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Nice scores 0.86 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Brest 86%, Nice 57%. Over 2.5: Brest 71%, Nice 57%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Brest has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.38. Brest: 17.6 shots per match, Nice: 11.9.

Match halves

Brest: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.57. Nice: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Brest: 16-30 (4 goals). Nice: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.19)
(3.74)
(3.43)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.86Goals scored / match0.86
BrestNice
1.43Goals conceded / match1.29
BrestNice
46%Average possession55%
BrestNice
5.71Shots on target / match3.71
BrestNice

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.57Shots per match11.86
BrestNice
5.71Shots on target3.71
BrestNice
10.6%Shot conversion7.2%
BrestNice
46%Possession55%
BrestNice
1.77xG for1.38
BrestNice
1.39xG against1.37
BrestNice

Shooting quality

Brest: AttackingNice: Balanced
BrestNice
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Brest
WLLWD
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
DLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Nice
DLWWL
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Brest is 116% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Brest · 0.86 goals / match - Nice

Nice is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Brest · 1.29 goals / match - Nice

Brest scoring profile: very strong

Brest scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Nice scoring profile: very strong

Nice scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)6
BrestNice
10Goals conceded (season)9
BrestNice
3.29Average goals in match2.14
BrestNice
9Goals scored (last 5)6
BrestNice
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
BrestNice

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal57%
BrestNice
57%2 goals29%
BrestNice
14%3 goals0%
BrestNice
14%4 goals0%
BrestNice

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal86%
BrestNice
43%2 goals29%
BrestNice
0%3 goals14%
BrestNice
0%4 goals0%
BrestNice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time43%
BrestNice
29%BTTS in both halves0%
BrestNice
57%Scored in both halves29%
BrestNice

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
BrestNice
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
BrestNice
80%BTTS - last 580%
BrestNice

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
BrestNice
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
BrestNice
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
BrestNice

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
BrestNice
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
BrestNice
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BrestNice

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Brest is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Brest · 1 pts / match - Nice

Brest - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing
Nice - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1
BrestNice
1.29Goals scored (1st half)0.57
BrestNice
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
BrestNice
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.29
BrestNice
57%Clean sheet before half-time43%
BrestNice
14%No goal before half-time43%
BrestNice

After half-time (2nd half)

0.71Points per match (2nd half)1
BrestNice
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
BrestNice
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
BrestNice
1.57Average goals (2nd half)0.86
BrestNice
14%Clean sheet after half-time57%
BrestNice
43%No goal after half-time71%
BrestNice

Brest - second-half results

0% W71% D29% L
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding51%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nice - second-half results

14% W57% D29% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Brest - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.60
Goals scored / match1.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Nice - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Brest
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Nice
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.72
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Brest

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Nice

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

BrestLigaNice
Average goals in match▲ 3.293.05▼ 2.14
Both teams scored▲ 86%63%▼ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%63%▼ 57%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%71%• 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%83%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.05
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Brest 1 - 1 - 0 Nice. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

OGC Nice Côte d'Azur
2 : 2
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
4 : 1
OGC Nice Côte d'Azur

FAQ

When do Brest and Nice play?

Brest face Nice on 23 October 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Francis-Le Ble. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Brest and Nice?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Brest won 1, Nice won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Brest vs Nice?

Brest score 1.86 goals per game on average and Nice 0.86. The Ligue 1 average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Brest's matches and 57% of Nice's.

What form are Brest and Nice in?

Over the last 5 games Brest have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nice 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brest vs Nice?

The statistical background for Brest vs Nice — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.