Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners: match statistics
Brisbane Roar is in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and a points per game (PPG) record of 0.6, indicating significant offensive issues (43% FTS%). Central Coast Mariners show better recent form (1.6 PPG in their last 5 matches) and a higher away scoring efficiency (1.43 goals/match vs 1.0 for the hosts). However, Brisbane holds a home advantage with a 43% win rate at home and a superior expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1 for the visitors). Both teams have defensive problems, suggesting goals from both sides. Considering the hosts' poor form but their home advantage, along with the guests' improving form despite their high away loss rate (57%), the most likely outcome appears to be a draw in a closely contested match.
Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brisbane Roar played Central Coast Mariners in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Brisbane Roar: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Central Coast Mariners: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brisbane Roar scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Central Coast Mariners scores 1.27 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brisbane Roar 44%, Central Coast Mariners 60%. Over 2.5: Brisbane Roar 50%, Central Coast Mariners 60%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Brisbane Roar has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.03. Brisbane Roar: 13.5 shots per match, Central Coast Mariners: 9.7.
Match halves
Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.50. Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (5 goals). Central Coast Mariners: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brisbane Roar is in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and a points per game (PPG) record of 0.6, indicating significant offensive issues (43% FTS%). Central Coast Mariners show better recent form (1.6 PPG in their last 5 matches) and a higher away scoring efficiency (1.43 goals/match vs 1.0 for the hosts). However, Brisbane holds a home advantage with a 43% win rate at home and a superior expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1 for the visitors). Both teams have defensive problems, suggesting goals from both sides. Considering the hosts' poor form but their home advantage, along with the guests' improving form despite their high away loss rate (57%), the most likely outcome appears to be a draw in a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brisbane Roar | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Coast Mariners is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.6 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Coast Mariners is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.27 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.53 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Central Coast Mariners scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brisbane Roar
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.2 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Brisbane Roar | Liga | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.78 | • 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brisbane Roar 1 - 0 - 0 Central Coast Mariners. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners?
The A-League match finished Brisbane Roar 1:2 Central Coast Mariners. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners?
Brisbane Roar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Central Coast Mariners 1.27. The A-League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Brisbane Roar's matches and 60% of Central Coast Mariners's.
What form are Brisbane Roar and Central Coast Mariners in?
Over the last 5 games Brisbane Roar have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Central Coast Mariners 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.