Briton Ferry vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Briton Ferry vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Briton Ferry played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Old Road. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Briton Ferry: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Connah's Quay: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Briton Ferry scores 0.92 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 2.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Briton Ferry 58%, Connah's Quay 50%. Over 2.5: Briton Ferry 42%, Connah's Quay 67%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.54. Briton Ferry: 12.3 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 12.7.
Match halves
Briton Ferry: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.42. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (5 goals). Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay are 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Briton Ferry, sitting 11th, have managed just one win over the same period. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 away games and average 2.4 goals on the road, whereas the hosts score an average of 1 goal and concede 1.6 at home. The visitors' superior finishing is also reflected in their shot conversion rate: 19% compared with the hosts' 7%, although Briton Ferry create chances with a slightly higher average xG at home — 1.78 versus the visitors' 1.69 away. Connah's Quay's defence allows opponents an average of 0.94 xG away from home, while the hosts concede an average of 1.44 xG at home, further strengthening the case for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in every match included in the season statistics, with average goals scored of 2.29 for the home side and 2.40 for the visitors. Their attacking potential also supports a goals-at-both-ends scenario, with average xG figures of 1.70 and 1.69, respectively. The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Briton Ferry’s 71% clean-sheet rate. However, across their last 5 matches, the hosts have conceded an average of 1.6 goals, and BTTS has landed in 80% of their games. Connah's Quay have conceded only 0.6 goals per match recently, but the hosts have scored an average of 1.2, so despite the risk posed by the visitors’ defence, my pick is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Connah's Quay matches and 71% of Briton Ferry’s home matches. The hosts average 2.29 goals at home, while the visitors score 2.40 away from home, although their averages over the last five matches were lower, at 1.2 and 2.0 respectively. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.70 for the hosts and 1.69 for the visitors, pointing to a forecast of around 2.8 goals in total. The 2.5 line is less certain, having been cleared in 57% of Briton Ferry’s home matches and 80% of Connah's Quay’s away matches, while the figures over both teams’ last five matches were 40% and 60%, respectively. Therefore, two goals appear a more likely minimum than three, giving Over 1.5 goals the strongest edge in the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest HT/FT signal points to Connah's Quay: the visitors led at the break in all 5 away matches, averaging 1.8 first-half goals. This is not a certainty, however, as Briton Ferry have not conceded before half-time in any of their 7 home games, and were level at the break in 4 of them. The visitors' current form supports the prospect of them holding on to a potential lead: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals, while the hosts have won only once and conceded an average of 1.6 goals. The hosts are dangerous after the break, scoring an average of 1.57 goals at home, so a draw at half-time followed by an away win remains a significant alternative. Even so, the combination of the visitors' away leads at the break and their stronger recent results makes Connah's Quay leading at half-time and winning at full-time the single most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Briton Ferry | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Briton Ferry · 2.4 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 153% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Briton Ferry · 2.33 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Briton Ferry · 0.67 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Briton Ferry scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
Connah's Quay scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Briton Ferry
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Briton Ferry · 2.33 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Briton Ferry - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Briton Ferry
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Briton Ferry | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 3.27 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Briton Ferry 0 - 0 - 2 Connah's Quay. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Briton Ferry vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Briton Ferry 1:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Briton Ferry and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Briton Ferry won 0, Connah's Quay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Briton Ferry vs Connah's Quay?
Briton Ferry score 0.92 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.33. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Briton Ferry's matches and 50% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Briton Ferry and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Briton Ferry have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Briton Ferry vs Connah's Quay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.