Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Connah's Quay play Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 21 December 2025 at 13:30. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Connah's Quay: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Briton Ferry: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Connah's Quay scores 1.91 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 1.44 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Connah's Quay 69%, Briton Ferry 56%. Over 2.5: Connah's Quay 69%, Briton Ferry 56%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.44. Connah's Quay: 12.8 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 10.7.

Match halves

Connah's Quay: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (15 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
19Shots10
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
10Shots on target6
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
2.43xG1.63
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
5Corners7
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
76Dangerous attacks81
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
9Fouls16
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1Cards4
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.91Goals scored / match1.44
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.19Goals conceded / match1.47
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
56%Average possession49%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
5.84Shots on target / match4.66
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.81Shots per match10.69
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
5.84Shots on target4.66
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
14.9%Shot conversion13.5%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
56%Possession49%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.74xG for1.44
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.22xG against1.53
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Connah's Quay: Efficient finishingBriton Ferry: Efficient finishing
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)46%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Briton Ferry is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 2 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay
WWDLD
Season result split
50% W31% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-10-6
1.81 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-3
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Briton Ferry
WDLWW
Season result split
38% W28% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-11
1.41 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.91 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.44 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.47 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: very strong

Briton Ferry scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).

61Goals scored (season)46
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
38Goals conceded (season)47
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
3.09Average goals in match2.91
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
9Goals scored (last 5)7
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal72%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
56%2 goals53%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
38%3 goals16%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
9%4 goals3%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
34%2 goals47%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
9%3 goals13%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0%4 goals9%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
9%BTTS in both halves9%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
44%Scored in both halves28%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
100%BTTS - last 540%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.66 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.53 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay - half-time state
41% leading44% draw16% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
34% leading50% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.66Points per match (1st half)1.53
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.31
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
59%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
41%No goal before half-time44%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per match (2nd half)1.25
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
0.72Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
1.81Average goals (2nd half)1.59
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
50%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry
28%No goal after half-time56%
Connah's QuayBriton Ferry

Connah's Quay - second-half results

44% W28% R28% P
53
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.66
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

31% W31% R38% P
49
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Connah's Quay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Briton Ferry - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
12
3
0-15
4
8
16-30
10
4
31-45
8
7
46-60
12
4
61-75
15
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
7
3
16-30
10
8
31-45
7
12
46-60
9
8
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Connah's QuayLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals in match 3.092.87 2.91
Both teams scored 69%50% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%53% 56%
Clean sheets 25%29% 25%
Goal before half-time 75%73% 69%
Goal after half-time 88%75% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Connah's Quay 1 - 0 - 0 Briton Ferry. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
0 : 3
Connah's Quay Nomads FC

FAQ

What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 4:2 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry?

Connah's Quay score 1.91 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.44. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Connah's Quay's matches and 56% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Connah's Quay and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Briton Ferry 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Connah's Quay vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.