Bucheon 1995 vs Anyang: match statistics

Bucheon 1995 are clearly in stronger current form: they have collected 11 points from their last five matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws, while Anyang have managed just 3 points after losing 4 games. The hosts scored 9 goals and conceded only 2 during this period, whereas the visitors netted just 4 times and conceded as many as 15. Anyang have slightly better away figures across the season, averaging 1.42 goals with a 42% win rate, but their recent slump significantly undermines the reliability of these numbers. Bucheon draw as many as 38% of their home matches and average only 1.15 goals, so a draw remains a realistic scenario; however, the hosts’ current edge in defensive organisation favours Bucheon. The expected quality of chances is similar, with average xG of 1.31 for Bucheon and 1.35 for Anyang, but current finishing form and the visitors’ poor run point to a Bucheon win.

Long-term data supports goals from both sides: Bucheon 1995 records BTTS in 75% of matches, while Anyang stands at 67%, compared with the league average of 50%. The hosts have not kept a single clean sheet this season and concede an average of 1.83 goals, while Anyang scores an average of 1.42 goals per match. Bucheon should also create chances against a visiting defence that has conceded as many as 15 goals in its last 5 matches, or 3.0 per game, with an xG against of 1.70. The risk to the pick is the hosts’ current defensive form, as they have conceded only 2 goals in their last five matches, with BTTS landing in just 20% of those games. Despite this, Bucheon’s season-long vulnerability at the back and Anyang’s attacking potential, supported by an average xG of 1.35, give a slight edge to the BTTS - Yes scenario.

Bucheon have averaged 1.8 goals scored in their last five matches, while Anyang have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game over the same period, significantly increasing the hosts’ scoring potential. Anyang should still create chances, as their average xG stands at 1.35, while Bucheon allow opponents 1.72 xG per match. At least two goals were scored in 83% of Bucheon’s matches and 75% of Anyang’s games, compared with a league average of 2.41 goals. The Over 1.5 goals line therefore has the strongest statistical support, although the 2.5-goal threshold is more evenly balanced due to Anyang’s season-long results, with only 42% of their matches finishing with over three goals.

Bucheon are in clearly better current form: they have collected 11 points from their last five matches, winning three times and avoiding defeat, while Anyang have suffered four losses and accumulated just three points. The strongest signal concerns the first half: the hosts led at the break in three of their last five matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and conceding none, whereas the visitors have not led at half-time on any occasion, scoring 0.0 goals and conceding an average of 1.8. Anyang have the better season-long record, but their recent defensive performance has seen them concede as many as 3.0 goals per match, while scoring only 0.8. Over the same period, Bucheon have averaged 1.8 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, reinforcing the scenario of taking the lead before half-time and maintaining it until the final whistle, corresponding to the 1/1 HT/FT outcome. The main risk is that the hosts have won only 17% of their matches this season, which means that the draw-at-half-time variant retains a significant share of the probability.