Bugesera vs APR: match statistics
APR is the clear favorite for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 defeat. The visiting side is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five outings and winning four of them. Bugesera, despite decent home form (a 50% win rate at home), are only 12th in the league and have significantly weaker offensive stats (0.88 goals per match at home compared to APR's 1.33 away). APR also dominates in terms of possession (56% vs. 47%) and goal conversion, which, combined with a solid defense (44% clean sheets away), gives them a distinct advantage. APR's high percentage of away draws (44%) suggests a cautious approach, but their current form and superior quality point towards an away victory.
Bugesera vs APR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bugesera played APR in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Bugesera: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. APR: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bugesera scores 0.82 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. APR scores 1.41 and concedes 0.59. League average: 2.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bugesera 47%, APR 47%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 41%, APR 47%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
APR has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.95. Bugesera: 5.5 shots per match, APR: 7.8.
Match halves
Bugesera: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.65. APR: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Bugesera: 61-75 (5 goals). APR: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.04 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
APR is the clear favorite for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 defeat. The visiting side is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five outings and winning four of them. Bugesera, despite decent home form (a 50% win rate at home), are only 12th in the league and have significantly weaker offensive stats (0.88 goals per match at home compared to APR's 1.33 away). APR also dominates in terms of possession (56% vs. 47%) and goal conversion, which, combined with a solid defense (44% clean sheets away), gives them a distinct advantage. APR's high percentage of away draws (44%) suggests a cautious approach, but their current form and superior quality point towards an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | APR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
APR is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Bugesera · 2.6 pts / match - APR
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APR is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.41 goals / match - APR
APR is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.59 goals / match - APR
Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while APR keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
APR scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - APR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APR is 156% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.82 pts / match - APR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
APR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bugesera
APR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | APR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.04 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 35% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 37% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- APRGoalDjibril Cheick Ouattara
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 0 - 1 APR. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs APR?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:2 APR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs APR?
Bugesera score 0.82 goals per game on average and APR 1.41. The National Soccer League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Bugesera's matches and 47% of APR's.
What form are Bugesera and APR in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and APR 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs APR?
The statistical background for Bugesera vs APR — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.