Bugesera vs AS Kigali: match statistics
Bugesera displays solid home form with a 46% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 games, averaging 2 points per match in this period, which indicates good form. AS Kigali has poor away form - only a 33% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference (-3), and just 1 point per game in their last 5 matches. The visitors have lost half of their away fixtures this season, which, combined with Bugesera's solid defense (38% clean sheets at home), gives the hosts an edge. Bugesera's higher shot conversion rate (22% vs 14%) and better overall form point towards a home win, although AS Kigali's experience in drawing games (9 draws this season) suggests the match could be closely contested.
Bugesera vs AS Kigali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bugesera played AS Kigali in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bugesera: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. AS Kigali: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. AS Kigali scores 0.72 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bugesera 52%, AS Kigali 36%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 48%, AS Kigali 28%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.93. Bugesera: 5.4 shots per match, AS Kigali: 7.8.
Match halves
Bugesera: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.70. AS Kigali: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Bugesera: 61-75 (7 goals). AS Kigali: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bugesera displays solid home form with a 46% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 games, averaging 2 points per match in this period, which indicates good form. AS Kigali has poor away form - only a 33% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference (-3), and just 1 point per game in their last 5 matches. The visitors have lost half of their away fixtures this season, which, combined with Bugesera's solid defense (38% clean sheets at home), gives the hosts an edge. Bugesera's higher shot conversion rate (22% vs 14%) and better overall form point towards a home win, although AS Kigali's experience in drawing games (9 draws this season) suggests the match could be closely contested.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bugesera is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Bugesera · 1 pts / match - AS Kigali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bugesera is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.72 goals / match - AS Kigali
Bugesera is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.12 goals / match - AS Kigali
Bugesera scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
AS Kigali scores in 56% of matches (14 of 25 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - AS Kigali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bugesera
AS Kigali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 35% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 1 - 0 AS Kigali. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs AS Kigali?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:0 AS Kigali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs AS Kigali?
Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and AS Kigali 0.72. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Bugesera's matches and 36% of AS Kigali's.
What form are Bugesera and AS Kigali in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and AS Kigali 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs AS Kigali?
The statistical background for Bugesera vs AS Kigali — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.