BUL vs SC Villa: match statistics
SC Villa demonstrates decisively better form and table position (2nd place) compared to BUL (9th place). The visitors possess an impressive away record with 50% victories and merely 33% defeats, whereas the hosts have won only 29% of matches at home. The form in the last five encounters also speaks in favor of SC Villa (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). The visitors are characterized by offensive efficiency (17% shot conversion) and solid defense (50% clean sheets away), while BUL has failed to score in 43% of home matches. The difference in goal balance (+3 for visitors vs -1 for hosts) and the advantage in expected goals confirm SC Villa's superiority. Taking all statistics into account, the visitors are the decided favorite for this meeting.
BUL vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BUL played SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 22 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
BUL: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. SC Villa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
BUL scores 0.83 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. SC Villa scores 1.42 and concedes 0.58. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BUL 42%, SC Villa 42%. Over 2.5: BUL 33%, SC Villa 42%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
BUL has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.26. BUL: 8.8 shots per match, SC Villa: 7.6.
Match halves
BUL: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.08. SC Villa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
BUL: 31-45+ (6 goals). SC Villa: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SC Villa demonstrates decisively better form and table position (2nd place) compared to BUL (9th place). The visitors possess an impressive away record with 50% victories and merely 33% defeats, whereas the hosts have won only 29% of matches at home. The form in the last five encounters also speaks in favor of SC Villa (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). The visitors are characterized by offensive efficiency (17% shot conversion) and solid defense (50% clean sheets away), while BUL has failed to score in 43% of home matches. The difference in goal balance (+3 for visitors vs -1 for hosts) and the advantage in expected goals confirm SC Villa's superiority. Taking all statistics into account, the visitors are the decided favorite for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BUL | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SC Villa is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - BUL · 2 pts / match - SC Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SC Villa is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - BUL · 1.42 goals / match - SC Villa
SC Villa is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - BUL · 0.58 goals / match - SC Villa
BUL scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
SC Villa scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - BUL
Over / Under - SC Villa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - BUL · 1.42 pts / match - SC Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BUL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BUL
SC Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| BUL | Liga | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.92 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 25% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SC VillaGoalReagan Mpande
- BULGoalNicholas Mwere
FAQ
What was the result of BUL vs SC Villa?
The Uganda Premier League match finished BUL 2:1 SC Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before BUL vs SC Villa?
BUL score 0.83 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.42. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 42% of BUL's matches and 42% of SC Villa's.
What form are BUL and SC Villa in?
Over the last 5 games BUL have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and SC Villa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BUL vs SC Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.