BUL vs UPDF: match statistics
BUL vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BUL play UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 21 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:5.
Current form
BUL: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
BUL scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BUL 43%, UPDF 40%. Over 2.5: BUL 33%, UPDF 40%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
BUL has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.53. BUL: 10.7 shots per match, UPDF: 10.8.
Match halves
BUL: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.40. UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
BUL: 31-45+ (12 goals). UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
BUL at home averages 1.27 goals per match with xG 1.82, records 4.4 shots on target and 14.8 total shots, while UPDF away scores only 0.73 goals with xG 1.64 and posts 3.4 shots on target and 12.2 total shots. Defensively the hosts are better: BUL concedes 0.91 goals at home on average and has 45% clean sheets, whereas UPDF concedes 1.73 goals away and has 27% clean sheets; season-wise BUL conceded 22 goals versus UPDF's 31. In the last five matches BUL scored 7 and conceded 3, collecting 8 points (2W, 2D, 1L) and averaging 1.6 points per game, while UPDF in their last 5 scored 5 and conceded 5, earning 5 points and averaging 1.0 point. The hosts’ efficiency is higher—conversion rate 9% for BUL vs 6% for UPDF—and BUL failed to score in 36% of home matches versus 45% of UPDF’s away matches without a goal, translating to 25 goals for BUL this season against 17 for UPDF. Based on superior chance creation (higher xG and more shots on target), greater efficiency and more solid home defense, I predict a home win; probability distribution: 65% BUL, 20% draw, 15% UPDF.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BUL | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BUL is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - BUL · 0.2 pts / match - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - BUL · 0.8 goals / match - UPDF
BUL is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - BUL · 1.37 goals / match - UPDF
BUL scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — BUL
Over / Under — UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - BUL · 0.87 pts / match - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BUL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BUL
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| BUL | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.09 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: BUL 1 - 0 - 0 UPDF. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of BUL vs UPDF?
The Uganda Premier League match finished BUL 2:5 UPDF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before BUL vs UPDF?
BUL score 1.00 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.80. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 43% of BUL's matches and 40% of UPDF's.
What form are BUL and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games BUL have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and UPDF 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BUL vs UPDF?
The statistical background for BUL vs UPDF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.