Burgos CF vs Ceuta: match statistics
Burgos CF vs Ceuta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burgos CF play Ceuta in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 1 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Burgos CF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Ceuta: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burgos CF scores 1.14 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Ceuta scores 1.21 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burgos CF 38%, Ceuta 55%. Over 2.5: Burgos CF 31%, Ceuta 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Ceuta has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.15. Burgos CF: 10.0 shots per match, Ceuta: 10.5.
Match halves
Burgos CF: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57. Ceuta: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Burgos CF: 31-45+ (13 goals). Ceuta: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Burgos is the favorite based on home statistics: at home they have a 50% win rate, score on average 1.31 goals and concede only 0.63 goals per match, and in the last 5 games they collected 13 points (8 goals scored and 0 conceded). Ceuta perform poorly away: they have only a 19% win rate, score on average 1.00 goal away and scored 6 goals in the last 5 matches, but concede as many as 2.06 goals on the road and conceded 12 goals in the same period. In chance quality Burgos averages 11.19 shots at home (3.56 on target) with xG 1.28 and a conversion rate of 12%, while Ceuta away averages 9.63 shots (3.00 on target) with xG 1.09 and a conversion rate of 10%. Additionally Burgos have 44% clean sheets in home matches versus 25% for Ceuta away and a better goal difference at home (+11 vs -17 away for Ceuta), which underlines the hosts' defensive advantage. Considering form (hosts average 2.6 points per match vs 1.2 for the visitors), defensive stability and superiority in chance quality, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burgos CF | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burgos CF is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Burgos CF · 2 pts / match - Ceuta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ceuta is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Burgos CF · 1.21 goals / match - Ceuta
Burgos CF is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Burgos CF · 1.5 goals / match - Ceuta
Burgos CF scores in 67% of matches (28 of 42 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 42 matches).
Ceuta scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 45% (19 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Burgos CF
Over / Under — Ceuta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ceuta is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Burgos CF · 1.4 pts / match - Ceuta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burgos CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burgos CF
Ceuta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Burgos CF | Liga | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.93 | 2.63 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 68% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burgos CF 0 - 0 - 1 Ceuta. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burgos CF vs Ceuta?
The Segunda División match finished Burgos CF 1:1 Ceuta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burgos CF vs Ceuta?
Burgos CF score 1.14 goals per game on average and Ceuta 1.21. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Burgos CF's matches and 55% of Ceuta's.
What form are Burgos CF and Ceuta in?
Over the last 5 games Burgos CF have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Ceuta 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burgos CF vs Ceuta?
The statistical background for Burgos CF vs Ceuta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


