Burton Albion vs Reading: match statistics
The analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Burton Albion presents solid home form with a 39% win rate and an average of 1.17 goals per game, although half of their matches end without a goal scored. Reading shows better offensive efficiency in away games (1.5 goals on average) but simultaneously concedes a lot of goals (1.5 per game) and holds a mere 28% win rate on the road. The key factor is recent form: Reading's 1.6 points per game in their last five outings edges out Burton's 1.4 points. Taking into account Reading's high frequency of away draws (33%) and evenly balanced ball possession (50% for both teams), a draw appears to be the most likely result of this clash.
Burton Albion vs Reading: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion played Reading in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Burton Albion: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Reading: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.11 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Reading scores 1.49 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 43%, Reading 70%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 54%, Reading 49%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.28. Burton Albion: 11.4 shots per match, Reading: 11.3.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.62. Reading: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 16-30 (8 goals). Reading: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams. Burton Albion presents solid home form with a 39% win rate and an average of 1.17 goals per game, although half of their matches end without a goal scored. Reading shows better offensive efficiency in away games (1.5 goals on average) but simultaneously concedes a lot of goals (1.5 per game) and holds a mere 28% win rate on the road. The key factor is recent form: Reading's 1.6 points per game in their last five outings edges out Burton's 1.4 points. Taking into account Reading's high frequency of away draws (33%) and evenly balanced ball possession (50% for both teams), a draw appears to be the most likely result of this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reading is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.6 pts / match - Reading
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reading is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.49 goals / match - Reading
Reading is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Burton Albion · 1.32 goals / match - Reading
Burton Albion scores in 62% of matches (23 of 37 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 37 matches).
Reading scores in 89% of matches (33 of 37 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burton Albion
Over / Under - Reading
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.51 pts / match - Reading
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Reading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Reading
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.49 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 0 - 0 - 1 Reading. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Reading?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 1:2 Reading. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Reading?
Burton Albion score 1.11 goals per game on average and Reading 1.49. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Burton Albion's matches and 70% of Reading's.
What form are Burton Albion and Reading in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Reading 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Reading?
The statistical background for Burton Albion vs Reading — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.