Buxoro vs Neftchi: match statistics
Buxoro vs Neftchi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Buxoro played Neftchi in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 18 August 2026. Venue: Buxoro Sport Majmuasi. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Buxoro: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Neftchi: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Buxoro scores 1.35 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Neftchi scores 2.41 and concedes 0.35. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Buxoro 53%, Neftchi 29%. Over 2.5: Buxoro 41%, Neftchi 65%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.36. Buxoro: 11.2 shots per match, Neftchi: 15.5.
Match halves
Buxoro: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.65. Neftchi: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.41.
Goals by minute
Buxoro: 31-45+ (6 goals). Neftchi: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi top the table and have suffered just 1 defeat in 17 league matches this season, while Buxoro have a record of 9 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The visitors are significantly more clinical, having scored 41 goals compared with the hosts’ 23, while averaging 2.25 goals away from home, compared with Buxoro’s 1.56 at home. Neftchi’s key advantage is their defensive solidity: they concede just 0.13 goals per away match and keep a clean sheet in 88% of their games, whereas Buxoro concede 0.56 goals at home. The visitors also create more high-quality chances, recording an average xG of 1.85 compared with the hosts’ 1.44, while scoring 14 goals and conceding just 2 in their last five matches. Buxoro are strong at home, having won 78% of their matches there, but Neftchi’s unbeaten run in their last five games and exceptionally resolute defence point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is not Neftchi’s exceptionally tight defense: the team keeps a clean sheet in 88% of matches and concedes just 0.13 goals per game on average. Buxoro do score an average of 2.56 goals at home, but both teams found the net in only 44% of their matches, while Neftchi’s season BTTS rate is very low at 13%, compared with 54% for the league as a whole. At the same time, the visitors are highly dangerous offensively, scoring 2.25 goals and recording 1.85 xG on average, so their goal is highly likely. In their last five matches, Neftchi conceded just 2 goals, while Buxoro scored 1.4 goals per game, reinforcing the scenario in which the home side fails to respond. BTTS - No does not mean a goalless draw; rather, it points to a more likely outcome in which the visitors keep a clean sheet, for example by winning the match.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The 2.55-goal projection is based on the combination of attacking potential: Buxoro’s average xG is 1.80, while Neftchi’s stands at 1.85. Neftchi have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.8 per game, while Buxoro have scored an average of 1.4 goals. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 89% of Buxoro’s matches and 63% of Neftchi’s games, providing a clearly stronger signal than at higher thresholds. Both teams also create plenty of chances, averaging 15.67 and 15.13 shots per match respectively, while Neftchi record 7.13 shots on target. Neftchi’s very high clean-sheet rate of 88% limits confidence in Over 2.5, but should not prevent at least two goals from being scored.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Neftchi have demonstrated a highly stable defensive advantage, conceding just 0.13 goals per match on average and keeping a clean sheet in 88% of their games, while Buxoro have scored in only 1.4 of their last five matches. The visitors have won 75% of their matches this season, remain unbeaten, and have averaged 2.8 goals scored against just 0.4 conceded across their last five fixtures. Neftchi were already leading at the break in 63% of their matches and have never gone into half-time trailing, which strongly supports the scenario of them establishing an advantage from the first half. Buxoro are dangerous at home, with a 78% win rate and an average of 2.56 goals this season, but the visitors’ excellent defence and their average of 1.8 goals after half-time in their last five matches point towards them maintaining the lead until the final whistle. The most likely outcome is therefore an HT/FT 1/1 scenario, with Neftchi leading at half-time and winning the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Buxoro | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Buxoro · 2.2 pts / match - Neftchi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Buxoro · 2.41 goals / match - Neftchi
Neftchi is 203% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Buxoro · 0.35 goals / match - Neftchi
Buxoro scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 65% (11 of 17 matches).
Neftchi scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Buxoro
Over / Under - Neftchi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Buxoro · 1.88 pts / match - Neftchi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Buxoro
Neftchi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Buxoro | Liga | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.66 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 69% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Buxoro 0 - 1 - 2 Neftchi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Buxoro vs Neftchi?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Buxoro 4:1 Neftchi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Buxoro and Neftchi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Buxoro won 0, Neftchi won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Buxoro vs Neftchi?
Buxoro score 1.35 goals per game on average and Neftchi 2.41. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Buxoro's matches and 29% of Neftchi's.
What form are Buxoro and Neftchi in?
Over the last 5 games Buxoro have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Neftchi 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buxoro vs Neftchi?
The statistical background for Buxoro vs Neftchi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.