Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 18 September 2026

CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics

Reasoning:

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CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CA La Paz play Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

CA La Paz: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

CA La Paz scores 2.13 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 2.13 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CA La Paz 50%, Correcaminos UAT 88%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 63%, Correcaminos UAT 88%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.44. CA La Paz: 14.5 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 12.0.

Match halves

CA La Paz: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.00. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.25.

Goals by minute

CA La Paz: 76-90+ (5 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.77)
(3.95)
(3.80)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
2.13Goals scored / match2.13
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
1.13Goals conceded / match1.88
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
49%Average possession48%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
5.25Shots on target / match5.13
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.5Shots per match12
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
5.25Shots on target5.13
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
14.7%Shot conversion17.7%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
49%Possession48%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
1.64xG for1.44
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
1.47xG against1.69
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

Shooting quality

CA La Paz: AttackingCorrecaminos UAT: Efficient finishing
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
Accuracy (shots on target)36%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CA La Paz is 120% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

CA La Paz
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Correcaminos UAT
LWDLD
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
DWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.88 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Correcaminos UAT scoring profile: very strong

Correcaminos UAT scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

17Goals scored (season)17
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
9Goals conceded (season)15
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
3.25Average goals in match4
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
10Goals scored (last 5)8
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
4Goals conceded (last 5)10
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal88%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
75%2 goals75%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
25%3 goals50%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
13%4 goals0%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal88%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
25%2 goals50%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
13%3 goals38%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
13%4 goals13%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
0%BTTS in both halves25%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
25%Scored in both halves50%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS88%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
60%BTTS - last 580%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.13 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.5 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT

CA La Paz - half-time state
63% leading25% draw13% trailing
Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.13Points per match (1st half)1.5
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
1.13Goals scored (1st half)0.88
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.63
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
88%Clean sheet before half-time25%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
38%No goal before half-time38%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.5
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.25
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
2Average goals (2nd half)2.38
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT
50%No goal after half-time25%
CA La PazCorrecaminos UAT

CA La Paz - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CA La Paz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Correcaminos UAT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
5
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CA La PazLigaCorrecaminos UAT
Average goals in match 3.253.28 4.00
Both teams scored 50%57% 88%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%60% 88%
Clean sheets 38%24% 13%
Goal before half-time 75%78% 88%
Goal after half-time 88%77% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
37%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): CA La Paz 1 - 1 - 0 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Correcaminos UAT
0 : 3
Club Atlético La Paz
Club Atlético La Paz
1 : 1
Correcaminos UAT

FAQ

When do CA La Paz and Correcaminos UAT play?

CA La Paz face Correcaminos UAT on 19 September 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CA La Paz and Correcaminos UAT?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches CA La Paz won 1, Correcaminos UAT won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT?

CA La Paz score 2.13 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 2.13. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CA La Paz's matches and 88% of Correcaminos UAT's.

What form are CA La Paz and Correcaminos UAT in?

Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.