Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 15 October 2026

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: match statistics

Reasoning:

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CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CA La Paz play Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

CA La Paz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tlaxcala: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

CA La Paz scores 2.33 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.92 and concedes 2.08. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CA La Paz 67%, Tlaxcala 83%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 75%, Tlaxcala 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.46. CA La Paz: 16.5 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 11.4.

Match halves

CA La Paz: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

CA La Paz: 76-90+ (7 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.50)
(4.60)
(4.80)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.33Goals scored / match1.92
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.25Goals conceded / match2.08
CA La PazTlaxcala
54%Average possession45%
CA La PazTlaxcala
5.83Shots on target / match4.42
CA La PazTlaxcala

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match11.42
CA La PazTlaxcala
5.83Shots on target4.42
CA La PazTlaxcala
14.1%Shot conversion16.8%
CA La PazTlaxcala
54%Possession45%
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.85xG for1.46
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.43xG against1.56
CA La PazTlaxcala

Shooting quality

CA La Paz: AttackingTlaxcala: Counter-attacking
CA La PazTlaxcala
Accuracy (shots on target)35%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CA La Paz
DWWLW
Season result split
58% W17% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-3
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.43Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Tlaxcala
WLWDW
Season result split
33% W25% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-5
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.92 goals / match - Tlaxcala

CA La Paz is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - CA La Paz · 2.08 goals / match - Tlaxcala

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).

Tlaxcala scoring profile: very strong

Tlaxcala scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

28Goals scored (season)23
CA La PazTlaxcala
15Goals conceded (season)25
CA La PazTlaxcala
3.58Average goals in match4
CA La PazTlaxcala
13Goals scored (last 5)12
CA La PazTlaxcala
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
CA La PazTlaxcala

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal83%
CA La PazTlaxcala
75%2 goals58%
CA La PazTlaxcala
42%3 goals33%
CA La PazTlaxcala
17%4 goals17%
CA La PazTlaxcala

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal100%
CA La PazTlaxcala
33%2 goals58%
CA La PazTlaxcala
8%3 goals33%
CA La PazTlaxcala
8%4 goals17%
CA La PazTlaxcala

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
CA La PazTlaxcala
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CA La PazTlaxcala
42%Scored in both halves33%
CA La PazTlaxcala

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
CA La PazTlaxcala
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
CA La PazTlaxcala
100%BTTS - last 580%
CA La PazTlaxcala

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
CA La PazTlaxcala
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
CA La PazTlaxcala
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
CA La PazTlaxcala

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
CA La PazTlaxcala
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
CA La PazTlaxcala
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time58%
CA La PazTlaxcala

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

CA La Paz is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1 pts / match - Tlaxcala

CA La Paz - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing
Tlaxcala - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per match (1st half)1
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.17Goals scored (1st half)0.58
CA La PazTlaxcala
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.42
CA La PazTlaxcala
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
CA La PazTlaxcala
25%No goal before half-time50%
CA La PazTlaxcala

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.42
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
CA La PazTlaxcala
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
CA La PazTlaxcala
1.92Average goals (2nd half)2.58
CA La PazTlaxcala
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
CA La PazTlaxcala
42%No goal after half-time33%
CA La PazTlaxcala

CA La Paz - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
22
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tlaxcala - second-half results

42% W17% D42% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CA La Paz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match1.01.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match2.22.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Tlaxcala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.40
Goals scored / match0.61.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Tlaxcala
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Tlaxcala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CA La PazLigaTlaxcala
Average goals in match▲ 3.583.26▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%59%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%61%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▲ 25%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%74%▲ 92%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%81%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): CA La Paz 1 - 1 - 0 Tlaxcala. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Club Atlético La Paz
2 : 0
Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC
3 : 3
Club Atlético La Paz

FAQ

When do CA La Paz and Tlaxcala play?

CA La Paz face Tlaxcala on 17 October 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CA La Paz and Tlaxcala?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches CA La Paz won 1, Tlaxcala won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

CA La Paz score 2.33 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.92. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of CA La Paz's matches and 83% of Tlaxcala's.

What form are CA La Paz and Tlaxcala in?

Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tlaxcala 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.