CA La Paz vs Venados: match statistics
CA La Paz vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CA La Paz played Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
CA La Paz: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Venados: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
CA La Paz scores 2.30 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Venados scores 2.40 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CA La Paz 60%, Venados 80%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 70%, Venados 90%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Venados has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.69. CA La Paz: 15.2 shots per match, Venados: 15.4.
Match halves
CA La Paz: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.20. Venados: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.70.
Goals by minute
CA La Paz: 76-90+ (7 goals). Venados: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten, while Venados have suffered 3 defeats over the same period. The strongest case for the hosts is their home record: 3 wins in 5 matches and an average of 0.6 goals conceded, compared with Venados’ 4 defeats in 5 away games and an average of 3 goals conceded. At home, the hosts average 14.8 shots per match, versus 10.4 shots for the visitors on the road, while their average xG stands at 1.61 against 1.75 xG allowed by the Venados defence. The visitors can still pose a threat, averaging 1.4 goals away from home and scoring in all 5 of those matches. Even so, their defensive struggles on the road and CA La Paz’s more consistent form point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 60% of CA La Paz’s home matches and 100% of Venados’ away games, while the figure was 80% for each team across their last 5 matches. The hosts score an average of 3.4 goals at home and record 9.6 shots on target, while Venados concede an average of 3.0 goals away from home, making a CA La Paz goal highly likely. The visitors also have attacking credentials: they score an average of 1.4 goals away from home, with an xG of 1.41, while the hosts concede an average of 1.0 goal. The main risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is CA La Paz’s 40% home clean-sheet rate; however, Venados have failed to score in none of their included away matches. Therefore, I consider both teams to score clearly the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CA La Paz average 3.4 goals scored at home, while Venados concede 3.0 on the road, pointing to strong scoring potential for the hosts. Their average xG figures support this: 2.37 for CA La Paz and 1.75 chances conceded by Venados. The visitors can also get on the scoresheet, averaging 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.41. At least 2 goals have been scored in 100% of the teams’ matches to date, and Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of their last five matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, although an expected total of 4.4 goals also gives higher goal lines a solid basis.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is CA La Paz leading at the break and winning at full time: the hosts led at half-time in 3 of their 5 home matches, while Venados were trailing at the break in 4 of their 5 away games. In first halves, CA La Paz average 1.0 goals at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.6 goals away. The hosts’ advantage continues after the break, when they score an average of 2.4 goals, while Venados concede 1.4. CA La Paz have won all 5 analysed home matches, whereas Venados have lost 4 of their 5 away games. The difference in attacking strength is reflected in the average xG figures of 2.37 versus 1.41 and 9.6 versus 4.6 shots on target per match, making the 1/1 HT/FT outcome a clear favourite over the alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.2 pts / match - Venados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - CA La Paz · 2 goals / match - Venados
CA La Paz scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Venados scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Venados
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.1 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.2 pts / match - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CA La Paz
Venados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 3.16 | ▲ 4.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 60% | ▲ 90% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): CA La Paz 1 - 1 - 0 Venados. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Venados?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 1:2 Venados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CA La Paz and Venados?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CA La Paz won 1, Venados won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Venados?
CA La Paz score 2.30 goals per game on average and Venados 2.40. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's matches and 80% of Venados's.
What form are CA La Paz and Venados in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Venados 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Venados?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.