Spain - Segunda DivisiónEstadio Nuevo MirandillaData current as of 21 October 2026

Cádiz vs Ceuta: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cádiz vs Ceuta: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cádiz play Ceuta in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla.

Current form

Cádiz: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ceuta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cádiz scores 1.10 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Ceuta scores 0.90 and concedes 2.20. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cádiz 50%, Ceuta 70%. Over 2.5: Cádiz 40%, Ceuta 60%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Ceuta has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.24. Cádiz: 11.3 shots per match, Ceuta: 15.4.

Match halves

Cádiz: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.80. Ceuta: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Cádiz: 46-60 (3 goals). Ceuta: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Segunda División: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.93)
(3.65)
(4.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.1Goals scored / match0.9
CádizCeuta
1.3Goals conceded / match2.2
CádizCeuta
52%Average possession50%
CádizCeuta
3.3Shots on target / match4
CádizCeuta

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.3Shots per match15.4
CádizCeuta
3.3Shots on target4
CádizCeuta
9.7%Shot conversion5.8%
CádizCeuta
52%Possession50%
CádizCeuta
1.24xG for1.58
CádizCeuta
1.42xG against1.43
CádizCeuta

Shooting quality

Cádiz: BalancedCeuta: Attacking
CádizCeuta
Accuracy (shots on target)29%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ceuta is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Cádiz · 1 pts / match - Ceuta

Cádiz
LDWLL
Season result split
10% W40% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-5
0.70 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Ceuta
DWDLL
Season result split
10% W20% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-7
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cádiz is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Cádiz · 0.9 goals / match - Ceuta

Cádiz is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.3 goals / match - Cádiz · 2.2 goals / match - Ceuta

Cádiz scoring profile: very strong

Cádiz scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

Ceuta scoring profile: very strong

Ceuta scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Cádiz keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

11Goals scored (season)9
CádizCeuta
13Goals conceded (season)22
CádizCeuta
2.4Average goals in match3.1
CádizCeuta
6Goals scored (last 5)7
CádizCeuta
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
CádizCeuta

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal70%
CádizCeuta
30%2 goals10%
CádizCeuta
10%3 goals10%
CádizCeuta
10%4 goals0%
CádizCeuta

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal100%
CádizCeuta
40%2 goals70%
CádizCeuta
10%3 goals30%
CádizCeuta
0%4 goals10%
CádizCeuta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
CádizCeuta
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CádizCeuta
20%Scored in both halves0%
CádizCeuta

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
CádizCeuta
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
CádizCeuta
40%BTTS - last 5100%
CádizCeuta

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
CádizCeuta
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
CádizCeuta
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CádizCeuta

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
CádizCeuta
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
CádizCeuta
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
CádizCeuta

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cádiz is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.9 pts / match - Cádiz · 0.4 pts / match - Ceuta

Cádiz - half-time state
10% leading60% draw30% trailing
Ceuta - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.9Points per match (1st half)0.4
CádizCeuta
0.3Goals scored (1st half)0.2
CádizCeuta
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
CádizCeuta
1Average goals (1st half)1
CádizCeuta
60%Clean sheet before half-time20%
CádizCeuta
70%No goal before half-time80%
CádizCeuta

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)0.8
CádizCeuta
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
CádizCeuta
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
CádizCeuta
1.4Average goals (2nd half)2.1
CádizCeuta
60%Clean sheet after half-time10%
CádizCeuta
50%No goal after half-time50%
CádizCeuta

Cádiz - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ceuta - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cádiz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ceuta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cádiz
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ceuta
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
5
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
4
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cádiz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Ceuta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

CádizLigaCeuta
Average goals in match▼ 2.402.65▲ 3.10
Both teams scored• 50%50%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%49%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 20%29%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%70%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%75%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cádiz 0 - 1 - 1 Ceuta. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta FC
2 : 1
Cádiz CF
Cádiz CF
0 : 0
Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta FC

FAQ

When do Cádiz and Ceuta play?

Cádiz face Ceuta on 25 October 2026 in Segunda División at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cádiz and Ceuta?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 0, Ceuta won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cádiz vs Ceuta?

Cádiz score 1.10 goals per game on average and Ceuta 0.90. The Segunda División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cádiz's matches and 70% of Ceuta's.

What form are Cádiz and Ceuta in?

Over the last 5 games Cádiz have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ceuta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cádiz vs Ceuta?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.