Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueThe OvalData current as of 13 August 2026

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Caernarfon Town play Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: The Oval.

Current form

Caernarfon Town: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Caernarfon Town scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Caernarfon Town 100%, Colwyn Bay 50%. Over 2.5: Caernarfon Town 100%, Colwyn Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.34. Caernarfon Town: 10.5 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 17.5.

Match halves

Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Caernarfon Town: 0-15 (1 goals). Colwyn Bay: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.01)
(3.55)
(3.20)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.5Goals scored / match2
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.5Goals conceded / match1
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
48%Average possession48%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
4Shots on target / match3.5
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.5Shots per match17.5
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
4Shots on target3.5
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
14.3%Shot conversion11.4%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
48%Possession48%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.34xG for1.71
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.38xG against0.74
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Shooting quality

Caernarfon Town: Efficient finishingColwyn Bay: Attacking
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)38%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.57

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Colwyn Bay is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.5 pts / match - Caernarfon Town · 2 pts / match - Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon Town
WL
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Colwyn Bay
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 0.74BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Colwyn Bay is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 2 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Caernarfon Town · 1 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon Town scoring profile: very strong

Caernarfon Town scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: very strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

3Goals scored (season)4
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
3Goals conceded (season)2
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
3Average goals in match3
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50%2 goals100%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%3 goals0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%4 goals0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50%2 goals50%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%3 goals0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%4 goals0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%Scored in both halves0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
100%BTTS - last 550%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Caernarfon Town - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Colwyn Bay - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per match (1st half)3
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0.5Goals scored (1st half)2
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
2Average goals (1st half)2
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50%No goal before half-time0%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)0.5
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
50%No goal after half-time100%
Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Caernarfon Town - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
0
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Caernarfon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.002.00
Goals scored / match0.51.0
Goals conceded / match1.50.0
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals50%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1
Colwyn Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.000.50
Goals scored / match2.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%50%
2 goals100%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal0%100%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Caernarfon Town
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Caernarfon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.97
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-2.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Caernarfon TownLigaColwyn Bay
Average goals in match 3.003.13 3.00
Both teams scored 100%63% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%63% 50%
Clean sheets 0%22% 50%
Goal before half-time 100%81% 100%
Goal after half-time 50%69% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+-6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
38%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Caernarfon Town 2 - 0 - 2 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.

FAQ

When do Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay play?

Caernarfon Town face Colwyn Bay on 15 August 2026 in Welsh Premier League at The Oval. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Caernarfon Town won 2, Colwyn Bay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Caernarfon Town score 1.50 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 2.00. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 50% of Colwyn Bay's.

What form are Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay in?

Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.