Italy - Serie BData current as of 08 October 2026

Calcio Padova vs Carrarese: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Calcio Padova vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Calcio Padova play Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 11 October 2026.

Current form

Calcio Padova: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Carrarese: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Carrarese scores 0.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Calcio Padova 60%, Carrarese 40%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 40%, Carrarese 20%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Calcio Padova has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.20. Calcio Padova: 12.2 shots per match, Carrarese: 12.2.

Match halves

Calcio Padova: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Carrarese: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Calcio Padova: 61-75 (2 goals). Carrarese: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.02)
(3.42)
(3.54)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1Goals scored / match0.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.2Goals conceded / match1.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
42%Average possession39%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
4Shots on target / match3.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.2Shots per match12.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
4Shots on target3.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
8.2%Shot conversion3.3%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
42%Possession39%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.29xG for1.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.77xG against1.66
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Shooting quality

Calcio Padova: BalancedCarrarese: Balanced
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)33%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Calcio Padova is 600% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 0.2 pts / match - Carrarese

Calcio Padova
WDLWL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Carrarese
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W20% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Calcio Padova is 150% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 0.4 goals / match - Carrarese

Calcio Padova scoring profile: very strong

Calcio Padova scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Carrarese scoring profile: mixed

Carrarese scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

5Goals scored (season)2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
6Goals conceded (season)6
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
2.2Average goals in match1.6
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal40%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%2 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%3 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%2 goals20%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
20%3 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Scored in both halves0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
60%BTTS - last 540%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time20%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Calcio Padova is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 0.8 pts / match - Carrarese

Calcio Padova - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)0.8
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
60%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%No goal before half-time100%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)0.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
60%No goal after half-time60%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Calcio Padova - second-half results

40% W0% D60% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrarese - second-half results

0% W40% D60% L
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calcio Padova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.21.4
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
72%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-74%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.80
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
33%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Calcio PadovaLigaCarrarese
Average goals in match▼ 2.202.64▼ 1.60
Both teams scored▼ 60%64%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%54%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 40%19%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%64%▼ 20%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Calcio Padova 1 - 1 - 0 Carrarese. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Calcio Padova
1 : 0
Carrarese
Carrarese
0 : 0
Calcio Padova

FAQ

When do Calcio Padova and Carrarese play?

Calcio Padova face Carrarese on 11 October 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Calcio Padova and Carrarese?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Calcio Padova won 1, Carrarese won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Carrarese?

Calcio Padova score 1.00 goals per game on average and Carrarese 0.40. The Serie B average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Calcio Padova's matches and 40% of Carrarese's.

What form are Calcio Padova and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carrarese 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Carrarese?

The statistical background for Calcio Padova vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.