Calcio Padova vs Palermo: match statistics
Palermo is showing significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 4th place in the table with a record of 16 wins compared to just 8 wins for Calcio Padova, who sits in 12th position. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+3), while the hosts concede more than they score at home (-3). The form from the last five matches also favors Palermo (1.4 PPG) compared to Padova's poor form (0.8 PPG and a streak of three consecutive defeats). xG statistics show the visitors' advantage both in offense (1.45 vs 1.31) and defense (1.36 vs 1.74). Palermo also has better shooting efficiency away from home and keeps clean sheets more often (27% vs 13%), which makes them the favorite for this match.
Calcio Padova vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calcio Padova played Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Calcio Padova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Palermo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calcio Padova scores 1.03 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Palermo scores 1.65 and concedes 0.87. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calcio Padova 58%, Palermo 42%. Over 2.5: Calcio Padova 45%, Palermo 52%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Palermo has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.18. Calcio Padova: 10.8 shots per match, Palermo: 14.3.
Match halves
Calcio Padova: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.61. Palermo: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Calcio Padova: 76-90+ (10 goals). Palermo: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo is showing significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 4th place in the table with a record of 16 wins compared to just 8 wins for Calcio Padova, who sits in 12th position. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+3), while the hosts concede more than they score at home (-3). The form from the last five matches also favors Palermo (1.4 PPG) compared to Padova's poor form (0.8 PPG and a streak of three consecutive defeats). xG statistics show the visitors' advantage both in offense (1.45 vs 1.31) and defense (1.36 vs 1.74). Palermo also has better shooting efficiency away from home and keeps clean sheets more often (27% vs 13%), which makes them the favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calcio Padova | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palermo is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.4 pts / match - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 1.65 goals / match - Palermo
Palermo is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Calcio Padova · 0.87 goals / match - Palermo
Calcio Padova scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 matches).
Palermo scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Calcio Padova · 1.77 pts / match - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calcio Padova
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Calcio Padova | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.54 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calcio Padova 0 - 0 - 1 Palermo. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 0:1 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Palermo?
Calcio Padova score 1.03 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.65. The Serie B average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Calcio Padova's matches and 42% of Palermo's.
What form are Calcio Padova and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Palermo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Palermo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Calcio Padova vs Palermo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.