Caldas vs Sporting Covilhã: match statistics
Caldas vs Sporting Covilhã: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Caldas play Sporting Covilhã in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Caldas: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sporting Covilhã: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Caldas scores 0.96 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Sporting Covilhã scores 0.82 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Caldas 50%, Sporting Covilhã 50%. Over 2.5: Caldas 39%, Sporting Covilhã 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Caldas has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.00. Caldas: 8.8 shots per match, Sporting Covilhã: 7.1.
Match halves
Caldas: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.61. Sporting Covilhã: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Caldas: 76-90+ (9 goals). Sporting Covilhã: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I forecast a home win (1) because Caldas holds a clear advantage in quality of chances — average xG at home is 1.35 versus 0.93 xG for Sporting Covilhã on the road. The hosts average 10.54 shots and 3.54 shots on target per home match, while the visitors register 6.62 shots and 2.31 on target; despite Covilhã’s higher conversion rate (14% vs 11%), the lower volume of attempts limits their scoring potential (Caldas 1.15 goals per home match vs 0.92 away for Covilhã). Both teams concede 1.23 goals per match on average, but xG against favors Caldas (0.98 vs 1.71), and in the last 5 matches the hosts have conceded 5 goals compared to 8 conceded by Covilhã. In the last 5 fixtures both sides have 2 wins, however Caldas has a higher average points return (1.4 vs 1.2) and a lower share of home matches without scoring (23% vs 38%), reducing the risk of a goalless outcome. The visitors have the advantage of 23% clean sheets away versus 8% for the hosts, but the xG balance and greater number of threatening shots support Caldas; I propose probability split of 60% home, 25% draw and 15% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Caldas | Sporting Covilhã | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Covilhã is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Caldas · 1.6 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caldas is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Caldas · 0.82 goals / match - Sporting Covilhã
Caldas scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Sporting Covilhã keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Sporting Covilhã scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Caldas
Over / Under — Sporting Covilhã
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Covilhã is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Caldas · 1.18 pts / match - Sporting Covilhã
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sporting Covilhã - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Caldas
Sporting Covilhã
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Caldas | Liga | Sporting Covilhã | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.18 | 2.23 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Caldas 1 - 0 - 2 Sporting Covilhã. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Caldas vs Sporting Covilhã?
The Liga 3 match finished Caldas 1:1 Sporting Covilhã. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Caldas and Sporting Covilhã?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Caldas won 1, Sporting Covilhã won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Caldas vs Sporting Covilhã?
Caldas score 0.96 goals per game on average and Sporting Covilhã 0.82. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Caldas's matches and 50% of Sporting Covilhã's.
What form are Caldas and Sporting Covilhã in?
Over the last 5 games Caldas have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sporting Covilhã 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caldas vs Sporting Covilhã?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.