Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 12 September 2026

Calvary vs Express: match statistics

Calvary crest
Calvary
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Express crest
Express
130%(0.00)
X40%(0.00)
230%(0.00)

Calvary is showing very poor form with just 4 draws and 12 losses this season, sitting in last place (16th) in the table. The home team has not won a match in their last 5 outings and failed to score a single goal during this period, indicating serious offensive issues. Express is also struggling, particularly on the road, where they have not recorded a single victory this season, posting 50% draws and 50% losses. Both teams are characterized by a high FTS% (71% for Calvary and 75% for Express), suggesting significant difficulties in finding the net. Given the poor form of both sides, their defensive approach, and statistics pointing to low efficiency, a draw is the most likely scenario, probably goalless or low-scoring.

Calvary vs Express: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Calvary played Express in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 18 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Calvary: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Express: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Calvary scores 0.38 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Express scores 0.88 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.18 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Calvary 25%, Express 25%. Over 2.5: Calvary 25%, Express 38%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Express has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.26. Calvary: 4.8 shots per match, Express: 9.2.

Match halves

Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.19. Express: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). Express: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Calvary is showing very poor form with just 4 draws and 12 losses this season, sitting in last place (16th) in the table. The home team has not won a match in their last 5 outings and failed to score a single goal during this period, indicating serious offensive issues. Express is also struggling, particularly on the road, where they have not recorded a single victory this season, posting 50% draws and 50% losses. Both teams are characterized by a high FTS% (71% for Calvary and 75% for Express), suggesting significant difficulties in finding the net. Given the poor form of both sides, their defensive approach, and statistics pointing to low efficiency, a draw is the most likely scenario, probably goalless or low-scoring.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
CalvaryExpress
-1Shots-1
CalvaryExpress
-1Shots on target-1
CalvaryExpress
0xG0
CalvaryExpress
-1Corners-1
CalvaryExpress
0Dangerous attacks0
CalvaryExpress
-1Fouls-1
CalvaryExpress
-1Cards-1
CalvaryExpress

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.38Goals scored / match0.88
CalvaryExpress
1.63Goals conceded / match1.06
CalvaryExpress
24%Average possession46%
CalvaryExpress
1.19Shots on target / match3.69
CalvaryExpress

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.75Shots per match9.19
CalvaryExpress
1.19Shots on target3.69
CalvaryExpress
7.9%Shot conversion9.5%
CalvaryExpress
24%Possession46%
CalvaryExpress
1.26xG for1.33
CalvaryExpress
1.65xG against1.65
CalvaryExpress

Shooting quality

Calvary: BalancedExpress: Balanced
CalvaryExpress
Accuracy (shots on target)25%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.270.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Express is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Calvary · 1 pts / match - Express

Calvary
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W25% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-12
0.25 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-4
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Express
LWLDD
Season result split
25% W31% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-7
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Express is 132% better for: goals scored per match.

0.38 goals / match - Calvary · 0.88 goals / match - Express

Express is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Calvary · 1.06 goals / match - Express

Calvary scoring profile: more difficult

Calvary scores in 25% of matches (4 of 16 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

Express scoring profile: mixed

Express scores in 38% of matches (6 of 16 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

6Goals scored (season)14
CalvaryExpress
26Goals conceded (season)17
CalvaryExpress
2Average goals in match1.94
CalvaryExpress
0Goals scored (last 5)3
CalvaryExpress
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
CalvaryExpress

How often they score at least...

25%1 goal38%
CalvaryExpress
13%2 goals19%
CalvaryExpress
0%3 goals19%
CalvaryExpress
0%4 goals13%
CalvaryExpress

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal63%
CalvaryExpress
38%2 goals25%
CalvaryExpress
25%3 goals13%
CalvaryExpress
19%4 goals6%
CalvaryExpress

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time13%
CalvaryExpress
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CalvaryExpress
0%Scored in both halves19%
CalvaryExpress

BTTS and goal count

19%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
CalvaryExpress
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
CalvaryExpress
0%BTTS - last 520%
CalvaryExpress

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
CalvaryExpress
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
CalvaryExpress
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
CalvaryExpress

2nd half

44%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
CalvaryExpress
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
CalvaryExpress
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
CalvaryExpress

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Express is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - Calvary · 1.25 pts / match - Express

Calvary - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Express - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)1.25
CalvaryExpress
0.06Goals scored (1st half)0.44
CalvaryExpress
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
CalvaryExpress
0.81Average goals (1st half)0.94
CalvaryExpress
50%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CalvaryExpress
94%No goal before half-time69%
CalvaryExpress

After half-time (2nd half)

0.81Points per match (2nd half)1.13
CalvaryExpress
0.19Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
CalvaryExpress
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
CalvaryExpress
0.81Average goals (2nd half)1
CalvaryExpress
56%Clean sheet after half-time56%
CalvaryExpress
88%No goal after half-time75%
CalvaryExpress

Calvary - second-half results

6% W63% D31% L
8
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Express - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Calvary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.40.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Express - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
6
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+103%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
10%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
47%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 2 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.88
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
28%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
199%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

CalvaryLigaExpress
Average goals in match 2.002.18 1.94
Both teams scored 25%42% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%38% 38%
Clean sheets 19%36% 38%
Goal before half-time 50%60% 56%
Goal after half-time 44%59% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.18
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
0.82
Away goals / match
+66%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Calvary 0 - 0 - 1 Express. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Calvary vs Express?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 0:0 Express. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs Express?

Calvary score 0.38 goals per game on average and Express 0.88. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Calvary's matches and 25% of Express's.

What form are Calvary and Express in?

Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Express 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs Express?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.