Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 13 September 2026

Calvary vs SC Villa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Calvary vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Calvary play SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 2 March 2026.

Current form

Calvary: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. SC Villa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Calvary scores 0.35 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. SC Villa scores 1.53 and concedes 0.59. League average: 2.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Calvary 24%, SC Villa 41%. Over 2.5: Calvary 24%, SC Villa 41%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 37%.

xG, shots and style

SC Villa has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.26. Calvary: 4.4 shots per match, SC Villa: 9.2.

Match halves

Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.18. SC Villa: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). SC Villa: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 37%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.35Goals scored / match1.53
CalvarySC Villa
1.53Goals conceded / match0.59
CalvarySC Villa
23%Average possession49%
CalvarySC Villa
1.06Shots on target / match3.35
CalvarySC Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.41Shots per match9.24
CalvarySC Villa
1.06Shots on target3.35
CalvarySC Villa
8%Shot conversion16.6%
CalvarySC Villa
23%Possession49%
CalvarySC Villa
1.26xG for1.37
CalvarySC Villa
1.65xG against1.21
CalvarySC Villa

Shooting quality

Calvary: BalancedSC Villa: Efficient finishing
CalvarySC Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)24%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

SC Villa is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Calvary · 1.6 pts / match - SC Villa

Calvary
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W29% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-5-12
0.29 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-4-4
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
SC Villa
LWDDW
Season result split
59% W24% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-3
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 337% better for: goals scored per match.

0.35 goals / match - Calvary · 1.53 goals / match - SC Villa

SC Villa is 159% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - Calvary · 0.59 goals / match - SC Villa

Calvary scoring profile: more difficult

Calvary scores in 24% of matches (4 of 17 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).

SC Villa scoring profile: very strong

SC Villa scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

6Goals scored (season)26
CalvarySC Villa
26Goals conceded (season)10
CalvarySC Villa
1.88Average goals in match2.12
CalvarySC Villa
0Goals scored (last 5)9
CalvarySC Villa
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
CalvarySC Villa

How often they score at least...

24%1 goal82%
CalvarySC Villa
12%2 goals35%
CalvarySC Villa
0%3 goals18%
CalvarySC Villa
0%4 goals6%
CalvarySC Villa

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal47%
CalvarySC Villa
35%2 goals12%
CalvarySC Villa
24%3 goals0%
CalvarySC Villa
18%4 goals0%
CalvarySC Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time0%
CalvarySC Villa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CalvarySC Villa
0%Scored in both halves24%
CalvarySC Villa

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
CalvarySC Villa
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
CalvarySC Villa
0%BTTS - last 540%
CalvarySC Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

47%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
CalvarySC Villa
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time12%
CalvarySC Villa
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
CalvarySC Villa

2nd half

41%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
CalvarySC Villa
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
CalvarySC Villa
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
CalvarySC Villa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

SC Villa is 177% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.53 pts / match - Calvary · 1.47 pts / match - SC Villa

Calvary - half-time state
0% leading53% draw47% trailing
SC Villa - half-time state
35% leading41% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.53Points per match (1st half)1.47
CalvarySC Villa
0.06Goals scored (1st half)0.59
CalvarySC Villa
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.24
CalvarySC Villa
0.76Average goals (1st half)0.82
CalvarySC Villa
53%Clean sheet before half-time76%
CalvarySC Villa
94%No goal before half-time65%
CalvarySC Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per match (2nd half)1.94
CalvarySC Villa
0.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
CalvarySC Villa
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
CalvarySC Villa
0.76Average goals (2nd half)1.18
CalvarySC Villa
59%Clean sheet after half-time71%
CalvarySC Villa
88%No goal after half-time35%
CalvarySC Villa

Calvary - second-half results

6% W65% D29% L
9
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.53
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

SC Villa - second-half results

47% W53% D0% L
25
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding169%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Calvary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.20.6
1 goal20%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
SC Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
0
46-60
7
2
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
20%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.91
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
26%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
191%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
191%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

CalvaryLigaSC Villa
Average goals in match 1.882.16 2.12
Both teams scored 24%42% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%37% 41%
Clean sheets 24%36% 53%
Goal before half-time 47%61% 59%
Goal after half-time 41%59% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
0.80
Away goals / match
+70%
Home attack advantage
+41%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Calvary 0 - 0 - 1 SC Villa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Calvary and SC Villa play?

Calvary face SC Villa on 2 March 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs SC Villa?

Calvary score 0.35 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.53. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Calvary's matches and 41% of SC Villa's.

What form are Calvary and SC Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and SC Villa 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs SC Villa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.